Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:06:26

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.3/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 35.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 34.7

30-Day Momentum

51
+13.3%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 77.1 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,472.12
Current Value
$16,889.71
Period P&L
$2,417.57
Max Drawdown
-32.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
9 / 5
Best Trade
+9.45%
Worst Trade
-17.13%
Avg Trade Return
+1.37%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$442,525.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,417.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,417.57
Gross Return
+16.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $14,472.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $46.51 311 $14,463.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $50.90 311 $15,829.90 $15,838.99 +$1,366.85
(+9.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $54.81 288 $15,785.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:50am ET $57.59 288 $16,585.95 $16,639.66 +$800.67
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:45am ET $55.26 301 $16,633.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $52.19 301 $15,709.19 $15,715.59 $-924.07
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $50.98 308 $15,701.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $48.40 308 $14,907.20 $14,920.95 $-794.64
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:50am ET $46.51 320 $14,883.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:25am ET $48.95 320 $15,664.03 $15,701.78 +$780.83
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:15am ET $48.21 325 $15,668.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $39.95 325 $12,983.75 $13,017.28 $-2,684.50
(-17.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET $36.36 358 $13,016.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $38.98 358 $13,954.84 $13,955.24 +$937.96
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 10:05am ET $35.58 392 $13,947.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $37.53 392 $14,711.76 $14,719.64 +$764.40
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $37.70 390 $14,703.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $39.91 390 $15,564.90 $15,581.54 +$861.90
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 10:45am ET $38.60 403 $15,557.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:15am ET $40.88 403 $16,474.64 $16,498.37 +$916.83
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:20am ET $39.97 412 $16,466.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $42.10 412 $17,345.04 $17,376.59 +$878.22
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET $43.57 398 $17,340.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:10am ET $45.78 398 $18,220.44 $18,256.17 +$879.58
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:45am ET $49.31 370 $18,242.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $47.68 370 $17,641.42 $17,654.74 $-601.43
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $49.70 355 $17,643.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $47.54 355 $16,878.47 $16,889.71 $-765.03
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,889.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,889.71
Total Return: +68.90%
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