Compendium › Danny Dip › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 27 trades in period

-4.32%
Last 3 Months Return
$4,175.47
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$4,364.08
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 4.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-3.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,364.08
Current Value
$4,175.47
Period P&L
$-188.61
Max Drawdown
-63.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+9.29%
Worst Trade
-4.53%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
22.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$220,246.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-188.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-188.61
Gross Return
-4.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,364.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:20am ET $26.01 167 $4,343.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $27.32 167 $4,561.61 $4,582.02 +$217.94
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET $27.57 166 $4,576.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET $26.69 166 $4,430.54 $4,435.94 $-146.08
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:10am ET $26.80 165 $4,421.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET $25.58 165 $4,220.70 $4,235.46 $-200.48
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $23.65 179 $4,233.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET $22.69 179 $4,061.51 $4,063.64 $-171.82
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $22.08 184 $4,062.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:10am ET $21.31 184 $3,921.04 $3,921.96 $-141.68
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:15am ET $20.95 187 $3,917.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $22.00 187 $4,114.00 $4,118.31 +$196.35
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET $20.90 197 $4,116.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:55am ET $20.16 197 $3,971.52 $3,973.51 $-144.80
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:05am ET $19.88 199 $3,956.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $19.28 199 $3,836.72 $3,854.11 $-119.40
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.94 214 $3,839.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $18.94 214 $4,053.16 $4,068.11 +$214.00
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET $24.28 167 $4,054.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $23.27 167 $3,885.59 $3,898.94 $-169.17
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET $22.13 176 $3,894.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET $21.43 176 $3,771.68 $3,775.74 $-123.20
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:40am ET $20.62 183 $3,773.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:35am ET $19.92 183 $3,645.38 $3,647.66 $-128.08
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:55am ET $21.72 167 $3,626.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $23.04 167 $3,847.68 $3,868.94 +$221.28
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $19.63 197 $3,867.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:00am ET $20.75 197 $4,087.75 $4,089.58 +$220.64
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $21.58 189 $4,079.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $22.87 189 $4,322.43 $4,332.45 +$242.87
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:40am ET $21.21 204 $4,327.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET $22.29 204 $4,547.16 $4,551.87 +$219.42
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
40m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:20am ET $20.86 218 $4,547.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $20.02 218 $4,364.36 $4,368.75 $-183.12
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:55am ET $21.00 208 $4,368.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:35am ET $20.32 208 $4,226.56 $4,227.31 $-141.44
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 11:00am ET $20.32 208 $4,225.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $19.65 208 $4,087.20 $4,088.99 $-138.32
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:50am ET $19.40 210 $4,074.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $18.74 210 $3,935.40 $3,950.39 $-138.60
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:45am ET $20.08 196 $3,934.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $21.94 196 $4,300.26 $4,315.95 +$365.56
(+9.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $20.77 207 $4,299.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $19.99 207 $4,137.93 $4,154.49 $-161.46
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $18.33 226 $4,142.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:55am ET $17.78 226 $4,018.28 $4,030.19 $-124.30
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $21.17 190 $4,022.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $20.27 190 $3,851.30 $3,859.19 $-171.00
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET $20.37 189 $3,849.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $19.75 189 $3,732.75 $3,742.01 $-117.18
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $20.26 184 $3,727.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $21.32 184 $3,922.88 $3,937.05 +$195.04
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $23.85 165 $3,935.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:15am ET $25.30 165 $4,173.68 $4,175.47 +$238.42
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,175.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,824.53
Total Return: -58.25%
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