Compendium › Danny Dip › SHIBUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SHIBUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 11 trades in period

+0.19%
Last 3 Months Return
$2,955.17
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$2,629.01
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 15:13:03

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 4.7/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

20
+5.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.3 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,727
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-21 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$2,629.01
Current Value
$2,955.17
Period P&L
$4.98
Max Drawdown
-94.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+5.33%
Worst Trade
-3.27%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$64,622.49
Estimated Fees
$161.56
Gross P&L
$4.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-156.58
Gross Return
+0.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.96%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $2,629.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET $0.00000582 479,145,287 $2,788.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET $0.00000612 479,145,287 $2,932.37 $2,932.37 +$129.44
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:15pm ET $0.00000585 501,259,829 $2,932.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 7:00pm ET $0.00000615 501,259,829 $3,082.75 $3,082.75 +$135.34
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 8:15am ET $0.00000629 490,103,339 $3,082.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:40am ET $0.00000609 490,103,339 $2,984.73 $2,984.73 $-113.19
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
4 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 4:50pm ET $0.00000642 464,911,215 $2,984.73 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $0.00000621 464,911,215 $2,887.10 $2,887.10 $-112.31
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 10:00am ET $0.00000607 475,634,267 $2,887.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2026 6:10am ET $0.00000588 475,634,267 $2,796.73 $2,796.73 $-104.58
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
6 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:25am ET $0.00000525 532,710,476 $2,796.73 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:05pm ET $0.00000553 532,710,476 $2,945.89 $2,945.89 +$134.80
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 7:30pm ET $0.00000509 578,760,314 $2,945.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 7:25am ET $0.00000535 578,760,314 $3,096.37 $3,096.37 +$135.37
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:25pm ET $0.00000502 616,806,773 $3,096.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:45pm ET $0.00000486 616,806,773 $2,997.68 $2,997.68 $-113.92
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:15am ET $0.00000474 632,421,941 $2,997.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $0.00000459 632,421,941 $2,902.82 $2,902.82 $-109.61
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $0.00000452 642,216,814 $2,902.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:30am ET $0.00000438 642,216,814 $2,812.91 $2,812.91 $-104.20
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:35am ET $0.00000435 646,645,977 $2,812.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 10:55am ET $0.00000457 646,645,977 $2,955.17 $2,955.17 +$127.84
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,955.17
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,044.83
Total Return: -70.45%
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