Compendium › Danny Dip › SHIBUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SHIBUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 19 trades in period

+18.91%
Last 3 Months Return
$2,984.73
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$2,348.17
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:43:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,820
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$2,348.17
Current Value
$2,984.73
Period P&L
$444.16
Max Drawdown
-94.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
10 / 9
Best Trade
+7.28%
Worst Trade
-3.41%
Avg Trade Return
+1.42%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$106,974.67
Estimated Fees
$267.44
Gross P&L
$444.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$176.72
Gross Return
+18.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.53%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $2,348.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $0.00000566 420,819,083 $2,381.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $0.00000549 420,819,083 $2,310.30 $2,298.57 $-83.27
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.00000522 440,338,397 $2,298.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.00000560 440,338,397 $2,465.90 $2,453.98 +$155.42
(+7.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:40pm ET $0.00000559 438,995,325 $2,453.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:10am ET $0.00000589 438,995,325 $2,585.68 $2,573.08 +$119.10
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET $0.00000581 442,871,480 $2,573.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:40am ET $0.00000613 442,871,480 $2,714.80 $2,701.58 +$128.50
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 2:10am ET $0.00000608 444,339,220 $2,701.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $0.00000639 444,339,220 $2,839.33 $2,825.48 +$123.89
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $0.00000631 447,778,130 $2,825.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 22, 2026 8:00pm ET $0.00000612 447,778,130 $2,740.40 $2,740.40 $-98.99
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $0.00000597 459,028,476 $2,740.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:00am ET $0.00000629 459,028,476 $2,887.29 $2,887.29 +$132.82
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.6d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:20pm ET $0.00000630 458,300,000 $2,887.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 4:05am ET $0.00000611 458,300,000 $2,800.21 $2,800.21 $-101.30
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET $0.00000560 500,037,500 $2,800.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET $0.00000593 500,037,500 $2,965.22 $2,965.22 +$150.60
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET $0.00000545 544,077,064 $2,965.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2026 9:50pm ET $0.00000528 544,077,064 $2,872.73 $2,872.73 $-107.09
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $0.00000570 503,987,175 $2,872.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:20am ET $0.00000599 503,987,175 $3,018.88 $3,018.88 +$131.43
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $0.00000587 514,290,150 $3,018.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $0.00000567 514,290,150 $2,916.03 $2,916.03 $-117.70
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $0.00000569 512,482,452 $2,916.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 7:35am ET $0.00000599 512,482,452 $3,069.77 $3,069.77 +$138.78
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET $0.00000604 508,240,047 $3,069.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2026 6:30am ET $0.00000584 508,240,047 $2,968.12 $2,968.12 $-116.74
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 4:55am ET $0.00000621 477,958,434 $2,968.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 8:40am ET $0.00000602 477,958,434 $2,877.31 $2,877.31 $-105.43
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 8:30am ET $0.00000584 492,690,030 $2,877.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET $0.00000566 492,690,030 $2,788.63 $2,788.63 $-102.85
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET $0.00000582 479,145,287 $2,788.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET $0.00000612 479,145,287 $2,932.37 $2,932.37 +$129.44
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:15pm ET $0.00000585 501,259,829 $2,932.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 7:00pm ET $0.00000615 501,259,829 $3,082.75 $3,082.75 +$135.34
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 8:15am ET $0.00000629 490,103,339 $3,082.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:40am ET $0.00000609 490,103,339 $2,984.73 $2,984.73 $-113.19
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,984.73
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,015.27
Total Return: -70.15%
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