Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:32:23

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.0/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 44.7/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 38.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,101.53
Current Value
$16,423.73
Period P&L
$-3,677.82
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.56

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+5.05%
Worst Trade
-9.56%
Avg Trade Return
-2.41%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$301,053.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,677.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,677.82
Gross Return
-18.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $20,101.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $65.68 306 $20,098.08
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $69.00 306 $21,112.47 $21,115.94 +$1,014.39
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $77.08 273 $21,042.84
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $69.71 273 $19,031.92 $19,105.02 $-2,010.92
(-9.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $66.54 287 $19,096.98
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $68.59 287 $19,685.33 $19,693.37 +$588.35
(+3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $64.10 307 $19,678.70
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:20am ET $62.17 307 $19,086.19 $19,100.86 $-592.51
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:35am ET $60.14 317 $19,064.38
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $58.31 317 $18,484.27 $18,520.75 $-580.11
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $62.30 297 $18,503.10
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:05am ET $60.37 297 $17,929.89 $17,947.54 $-573.21
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $56.09 319 $17,892.71
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $53.12 319 $16,945.28 $17,000.11 $-947.43
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $52.76 322 $16,988.72
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $50.97 322 $16,412.34 $16,423.73 $-576.38
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,423.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,423.73
Total Return: +64.24%
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