Compendium › Danny Dip › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 6 trades in period

-0.50%
Last 3 Months Return
$16,914.64
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$17,000.09
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:35:59

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.6/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 48.3/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 42.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-43 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,000.09
Current Value
$16,914.64
Period P&L
$-85.47
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+7.60%
Worst Trade
-3.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
6.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$206,859.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-85.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-85.47
Gross Return
-0.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $17,000.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $52.76 322 $16,988.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $50.97 322 $16,412.34 $16,423.73 $-576.38
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $52.16 314 $16,378.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $56.12 314 $17,622.72 $17,668.21 +$1,244.48
(+7.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:15am ET $62.06 284 $17,623.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $60.13 284 $17,076.32 $17,120.91 $-547.30
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:55am ET $58.32 293 $17,087.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:05am ET $61.41 293 $17,993.13 $18,026.28 +$905.37
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:05am ET $58.43 308 $17,996.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $56.54 308 $17,414.35 $17,444.19 $-582.09
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $58.97 295 $17,397.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET $57.18 295 $16,868.07 $16,914.64 $-529.55
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,914.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,914.64
Total Return: +69.15%
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