Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:08:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

20
+4.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.6 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,135.46
Current Value
$5,243.14
Period P&L
$107.68
Max Drawdown
-80.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
9 / 13
Best Trade
+6.02%
Worst Trade
-4.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$222,150.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$107.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$107.68
Gross Return
+2.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $5,135.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET $32.62 157 $5,121.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $31.63 157 $4,965.91 $4,980.03 $-155.43
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $31.04 160 $4,966.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET $29.95 160 $4,792.00 $4,805.63 $-174.40
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $28.20 170 $4,794.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $27.35 170 $4,649.26 $4,660.89 $-144.74
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $26.21 177 $4,639.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $27.57 177 $4,879.01 $4,900.73 +$239.84
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $27.52 178 $4,898.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $26.65 178 $4,742.81 $4,744.98 $-155.75
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $24.18 196 $4,739.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $25.42 196 $4,981.34 $4,987.04 +$242.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 2:10pm ET $30.76 162 $4,983.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $32.42 162 $5,252.02 $5,255.94 +$268.90
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:10am ET $29.63 177 $5,244.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:45am ET $28.73 177 $5,085.21 $5,096.64 $-159.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:45am ET $27.75 183 $5,078.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:45am ET $26.91 183 $4,924.53 $4,942.92 $-153.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:55am ET $28.22 175 $4,938.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:45am ET $29.84 175 $5,222.00 $5,226.42 +$283.50
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET $30.59 170 $5,200.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $29.57 170 $5,026.90 $5,053.02 $-173.40
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 10:00am ET $35.83 141 $5,051.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $37.65 141 $5,307.95 $5,309.64 +$256.62
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:40am ET $38.94 136 $5,296.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $37.27 136 $5,068.72 $5,081.84 $-227.80
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $36.12 140 $5,056.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $38.11 140 $5,335.40 $5,360.44 +$278.60
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $36.10 148 $5,342.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:45am ET $34.84 148 $5,156.32 $5,173.96 $-186.48
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:55am ET $38.06 135 $5,138.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $36.56 135 $4,935.60 $4,971.46 $-202.50
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $35.92 138 $4,956.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $37.72 138 $5,205.36 $5,219.86 +$248.40
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $39.46 132 $5,208.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $37.83 132 $4,993.56 $5,005.36 $-214.50
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $37.62 133 $5,003.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $36.46 133 $4,849.18 $4,851.08 $-154.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $35.89 135 $4,845.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $38.05 135 $5,136.75 $5,142.68 +$291.60
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $39.29 130 $5,108.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:20am ET $41.41 130 $5,383.30 $5,417.63 +$274.95
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $41.30 131 $5,410.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:55am ET $39.97 131 $5,235.81 $5,243.14 $-174.49
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,243.14
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,756.86
Total Return: -47.57%
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