Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:34:20

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

59
+24.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 79.4 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+54 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$3,950.55
Current Value
$5,038.08
Period P&L
$1,087.53
Max Drawdown
-80.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
10 / 9
Best Trade
+13.79%
Worst Trade
-3.54%
Avg Trade Return
+1.42%
Avg Hold Time
18.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$154,557.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,087.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,087.53
Gross Return
+27.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $3,950.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $33.40 118 $3,941.79
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $33.47 118 $3,950.05 $3,958.82 +$8.26
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:35am ET $29.67 133 $3,946.63
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $31.25 133 $4,156.25 $4,168.44 +$209.62
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $31.80 131 $4,166.40
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $30.73 131 $4,025.63 $4,027.67 $-140.77
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET $32.47 124 $4,026.28
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $31.32 124 $3,883.68 $3,885.07 $-142.60
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $30.88 125 $3,860.00
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:30am ET $29.94 125 $3,742.50 $3,767.57 $-117.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $32.17 117 $3,764.47
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $31.17 117 $3,647.38 $3,650.48 $-117.09
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 10:45am ET $31.01 117 $3,628.17
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET $32.58 117 $3,811.28 $3,833.58 +$183.11
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $22.07 173 $3,817.25
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $21.33 173 $3,690.95 $3,707.29 $-126.29
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $21.30 174 $3,706.20
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $22.40 174 $3,896.73 $3,897.82 +$190.53
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $23.41 166 $3,886.06
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET $22.65 166 $3,759.90 $3,771.66 $-126.16
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $21.20 177 $3,753.28
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $22.36 177 $3,957.72 $3,976.10 +$204.44
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET $21.95 181 $3,972.95
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $23.09 181 $4,179.24 $4,182.39 +$206.29
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $22.57 185 $4,175.45
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $21.83 185 $4,037.63 $4,044.57 $-137.82
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $22.97 176 $4,042.72
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $24.22 176 $4,262.72 $4,264.57 +$220.00
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $26.51 160 $4,241.60
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $27.98 160 $4,476.80 $4,499.77 +$235.20
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:15am ET $28.42 158 $4,490.38
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $27.54 158 $4,351.32 $4,360.71 $-139.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $26.58 164 $4,359.12
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $25.66 164 $4,208.24 $4,209.83 $-150.88
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
18 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $27.56 152 $4,189.10
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 152 $4,766.72 $4,787.45 +$577.62
(+13.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $33.57 142 $4,766.94
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:55am ET $35.33 142 $5,017.57 $5,038.08 +$250.63
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,038.08
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,961.92
Total Return: -49.62%
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