Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:37

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 2.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,889.53
Current Value
$7,523.47
Period P&L
$633.93
Max Drawdown
-40.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+5.63%
Worst Trade
-3.59%
Avg Trade Return
+0.97%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$146,400.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$633.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$633.93
Gross Return
+9.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $6,889.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $219.66 31 $6,809.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $230.97 31 $7,160.07 $7,240.15 +$350.61
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $257.68 28 $7,215.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $270.82 28 $7,583.03 $7,608.00 +$367.85
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET $269.74 28 $7,552.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:50am ET $261.41 28 $7,319.48 $7,374.76 $-233.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET $264.56 27 $7,143.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:00am ET $255.64 27 $6,902.28 $7,133.92 $-240.84
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $283.95 25 $7,098.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $298.78 25 $7,469.50 $7,504.55 +$370.63
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $305.87 24 $7,340.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:50am ET $321.23 24 $7,709.52 $7,873.19 +$368.64
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:20am ET $328.00 24 $7,872.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET $317.96 24 $7,631.04 $7,632.23 $-240.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:55am ET $322.12 23 $7,408.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $310.54 23 $7,142.42 $7,365.89 $-266.34
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET $366.05 20 $7,321.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $353.89 20 $7,077.80 $7,122.69 $-243.20
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:55am ET $323.69 22 $7,121.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $341.91 22 $7,521.97 $7,523.47 +$400.78
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,523.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,476.53
Total Return: -24.77%
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