Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 13:56:23

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

9
-7.4%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,712
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-21 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$940.07
Current Value
$1,211.98
Period P&L
$112.52
Max Drawdown
-92.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
9 / 8
Best Trade
+5.61%
Worst Trade
-3.57%
Avg Trade Return
+1.23%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$40,182.91
Estimated Fees
$100.46
Gross P&L
$112.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$12.06
Gross Return
+11.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.28%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $940.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET $86.60 12 $999.02
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET $90.93 12 $1,048.97 $1,048.97 +$44.83
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET $79.29 13 $1,048.97
🔴 SELL Mar 29, 2026 10:50pm ET $83.74 13 $1,107.84 $1,107.84 +$53.48
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 6:00am ET $80.44 14 $1,107.84
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:45am ET $84.65 14 $1,165.82 $1,165.82 +$52.30
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $83.91 14 $1,165.82
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 6:15pm ET $81.31 14 $1,129.70 $1,129.70 $-41.86
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:45pm ET $79.03 14 $1,129.70
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 6:05pm ET $83.02 14 $1,186.74 $1,186.74 +$51.24
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2026 9:50pm ET $82.13 14 $1,186.74
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 6:55pm ET $86.29 14 $1,246.85 $1,246.85 +$54.03
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 4:50pm ET $93.47 13 $1,246.85
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $98.15 13 $1,309.28 $1,309.28 +$56.04
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $76.18 17 $1,309.28
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 6:55pm ET $73.73 17 $1,267.17 $1,267.17 $-48.55
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 7:00pm ET $73.59 17 $1,267.17
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 4:55pm ET $71.26 17 $1,227.05 $1,227.05 $-46.36
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:25pm ET $69.09 18 $1,227.05
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $66.82 18 $1,186.73 $1,186.73 $-46.35
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $67.71 18 $1,186.73
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:35pm ET $71.40 18 $1,251.40 $1,251.40 +$58.58
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 4:15am ET $68.45 18 $1,251.40
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:55am ET $66.23 18 $1,210.81 $1,210.81 $-46.74
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:05am ET $65.81 18 $1,210.81
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $63.73 18 $1,172.54 $1,172.54 $-44.23
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $62.77 19 $1,172.54
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:35am ET $60.53 19 $1,130.70 $1,130.70 $-47.60
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:40am ET $60.54 19 $1,130.70
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 9:30pm ET $63.73 19 $1,190.28 $1,190.28 +$53.78
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $71.99 17 $1,190.28
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:30am ET $69.80 17 $1,154.07 $1,154.07 $-42.07
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET $68.95 17 $1,154.07
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2026 6:05pm ET $72.41 17 $1,211.98 $1,211.98 +$52.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,211.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,788.02
Total Return: -87.88%
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