SOXL Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 34 trades in period
-23.21%
Last 3 Months Return
$28,441.04
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$37,038.64
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
46
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
18.5/35
Total Return
18.8/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
46.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 45.8
30-Day Momentum
31
+9.0%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.4
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$37,038.64
Current Value
$28,441.04
Period P&L
$-8,597.53
Max Drawdown
-35.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
11 /
23
Best Trade
+14.80%
Worst Trade
-10.56%
Avg Trade Return
-0.62%
Avg Hold Time
10.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,787,880.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-8,597.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-8,597.53
Gross Return
-23.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.21%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $37,038.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $250.59 | 147 | $36,836.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.13 | 147 | $32,947.11 | $33,148.94 |
$-3,889.63 (-10.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $214.15 | 154 | $32,979.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $204.60 | 154 | $31,508.42 | $31,678.26 |
$-1,470.68 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.16 | 133 | $31,675.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $227.04 | 133 | $30,196.32 | $30,199.30 |
$-1,478.96 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $197.49 | 152 | $30,018.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:15am ET | $191.12 | 152 | $29,049.48 | $29,230.30 |
$-969.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $202.38 | 144 | $29,142.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:40pm ET | $196.12 | 144 | $28,241.28 | $28,328.85 |
$-901.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $164.43 | 172 | $28,281.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $158.20 | 172 | $27,210.42 | $27,257.29 |
$-1,071.56 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $193.29 | 141 | $27,254.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.16 | 141 | $25,685.26 | $25,688.16 |
$-1,569.13 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $172.78 | 148 | $25,571.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $166.62 | 148 | $24,659.76 | $24,776.48 |
$-911.68 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $174.58 | 141 | $24,616.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $167.53 | 141 | $23,621.73 | $23,782.01 |
$-994.47 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $151.62 | 156 | $23,652.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $146.01 | 156 | $22,777.56 | $22,906.85 |
$-875.16 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:55am ET | $131.97 | 173 | $22,830.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $140.32 | 173 | $24,275.36 | $24,351.40 |
+$1,444.55 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $140.71 | 173 | $24,342.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $135.85 | 173 | $23,502.05 | $23,510.62 |
$-840.78 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.54 | 157 | $23,477.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:55am ET | $159.18 | 157 | $24,992.04 | $25,024.89 |
+$1,514.27 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $158.28 | 158 | $25,008.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:15am ET | $153.37 | 158 | $24,232.46 | $24,249.11 |
$-775.78 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $142.37 | 170 | $24,202.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $136.81 | 170 | $23,257.70 | $23,303.91 |
$-945.20 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.81 | 204 | $23,217.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $110.36 | 204 | $22,513.44 | $22,600.13 |
$-703.78 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $109.04 | 207 | $22,572.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $102.03 | 207 | $21,119.80 | $21,147.61 |
$-1,452.52 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $112.15 | 188 | $21,084.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.75 | 188 | $24,205.00 | $24,268.39 |
+$3,120.78 (+14.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.37 | 230 | $24,235.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $111.39 | 230 | $25,619.70 | $25,652.99 |
+$1,384.60 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.55 | 187 | $25,534.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $131.53 | 187 | $24,596.11 | $24,714.25 |
$-938.74 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $134.63 | 183 | $24,638.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.11 | 183 | $26,006.13 | $26,082.18 |
+$1,367.93 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $134.20 | 194 | $26,034.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.01 | 194 | $28,520.66 | $28,568.04 |
+$2,485.86 (+9.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $146.88 | 194 | $28,494.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.60 | 194 | $27,470.40 | $27,543.72 |
$-1,024.32 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.85 | 204 | $27,509.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $130.66 | 204 | $26,654.66 | $26,688.96 |
$-854.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $121.74 | 219 | $26,661.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $117.59 | 219 | $25,752.21 | $25,780.13 |
$-908.83 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $119.70 | 215 | $25,736.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.90 | 215 | $27,068.50 | $27,112.16 |
+$1,332.03 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.06 | 239 | $27,020.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $108.77 | 239 | $25,996.03 | $26,088.04 |
$-1,024.12 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $115.75 | 225 | $26,043.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.49 | 225 | $27,784.13 | $27,828.42 |
+$1,740.38 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.75 | 234 | $27,787.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $114.52 | 234 | $26,797.35 | $26,838.25 |
$-990.17 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.97 | 253 | $26,810.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $101.52 | 253 | $25,684.56 | $25,712.40 |
$-1,125.85 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $101.64 | 252 | $25,612.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 2:05pm ET | $106.72 | 252 | $26,893.44 | $26,993.82 |
+$1,281.42 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $123.50 | 218 | $26,923.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.91 | 218 | $25,486.38 | $25,557.20 |
$-1,436.62 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.44 | 251 | $25,462.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $107.43 | 251 | $26,964.93 | $27,059.76 |
+$1,502.56 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.02 | 194 | $26,969.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $146.14 | 194 | $28,351.16 | $28,441.04 |
+$1,381.28 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$28,441.04
Net Profit/Loss:
+$18,441.04
Total Return:
+184.41%