Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:13

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,833.04
Current Value
$7,657.16
Period P&L
$-175.90
Max Drawdown
-27.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+5.27%
Worst Trade
-3.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.39%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$75,551.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-175.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-175.90
Gross Return
-2.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,833.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:50am ET $38.18 205 $7,827.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $37.03 205 $7,591.15 $7,597.10 $-235.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:15am ET $36.74 206 $7,568.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 10:15am ET $37.47 206 $7,718.86 $7,747.52 +$150.42
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $38.78 199 $7,717.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $37.58 199 $7,478.42 $7,508.72 $-238.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET $36.23 207 $7,499.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $35.10 207 $7,265.68 $7,274.79 $-233.93
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $34.86 208 $7,251.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $36.70 208 $7,633.60 $7,657.16 +$382.37
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,657.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,342.84
Total Return: -23.43%
Back to Danny Dip