Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:16:16

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.1/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 28.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 28.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,243.95
Current Value
$14,663.62
Period P&L
$419.69
Max Drawdown
-32.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+5.50%
Worst Trade
-10.10%
Avg Trade Return
+0.29%
Avg Hold Time
5.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$241,648.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$419.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$419.69
Gross Return
+2.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $14,243.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:05am ET $389.15 37 $14,398.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $375.92 37 $13,909.04 $13,990.11 $-489.51
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $413.79 33 $13,655.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:35am ET $399.26 33 $13,175.42 $13,510.45 $-479.66
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:50am ET $392.10 34 $13,331.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $412.02 34 $14,008.68 $14,187.73 +$677.28
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $378.38 37 $14,000.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $340.16 37 $12,585.92 $12,773.59 $-1,414.14
(-10.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:30am ET $311.00 41 $12,751.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:20am ET $301.56 41 $12,363.96 $12,386.39 $-387.20
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:00am ET $305.55 40 $12,221.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:55am ET $320.85 40 $12,833.80 $12,998.39 +$612.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:15am ET $338.43 38 $12,860.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:05am ET $357.03 38 $13,567.23 $13,705.28 +$706.89
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:05am ET $353.56 38 $13,435.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $372.76 38 $14,164.88 $14,434.88 +$729.60
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $360.98 39 $14,078.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $366.85 39 $14,307.15 $14,663.62 +$228.74
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,663.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,663.62
Total Return: +46.64%
Back to Danny Dip