Compendium › Danny Dip › UVXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UVXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 16 trades in period

-31.17%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,210.79
Current Value
13%
Win Rate
$7,570.50
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:15

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-10.5%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,570.50
Current Value
$5,210.79
Period P&L
$-2,359.70
Max Drawdown
-61.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.66

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
2 / 14
Best Trade
+7.92%
Worst Trade
-4.87%
Avg Trade Return
-2.25%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$202,370.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,359.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,359.70
Gross Return
-31.17%
Net Return (after fees)
-31.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,570.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:30am ET $27.11 279 $7,563.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $26.18 279 $7,304.22 $7,311.02 $-259.47
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:05am ET $27.55 265 $7,300.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $26.23 265 $6,950.84 $6,961.11 $-349.91
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:50am ET $24.50 284 $6,958.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:25pm ET $23.76 284 $6,749.26 $6,752.37 $-208.74
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $25.08 269 $6,747.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $24.33 269 $6,544.77 $6,549.28 $-203.09
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $23.68 276 $6,535.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $22.94 276 $6,331.44 $6,345.04 $-204.24
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:00am ET $25.14 252 $6,335.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $23.98 252 $6,042.96 $6,052.72 $-292.32
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $23.93 252 $6,030.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $25.83 252 $6,507.90 $6,530.26 +$477.54
(+7.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $25.25 258 $6,515.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:40am ET $24.41 258 $6,296.49 $6,311.58 $-218.68
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET $24.40 258 $6,293.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:15am ET $25.68 258 $6,625.44 $6,643.11 +$331.53
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:15am ET $25.16 264 $6,642.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $24.34 264 $6,425.73 $6,426.60 $-216.51
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $22.81 281 $6,409.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $22.08 281 $6,204.48 $6,221.47 $-205.13
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:55am ET $20.73 300 $6,217.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $20.08 300 $6,022.50 $6,026.47 $-195.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET $19.91 302 $6,012.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $19.24 302 $5,810.48 $5,824.13 $-202.34
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:00am ET $18.32 317 $5,805.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $17.76 317 $5,629.92 $5,648.19 $-175.94
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $18.29 308 $5,633.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.40 308 $5,359.20 $5,374.07 $-274.12
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $17.08 314 $5,363.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $16.56 314 $5,199.84 $5,210.79 $-163.28
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,210.79
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,789.21
Total Return: -47.89%
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