Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
3.4/10
Raw Quality 18.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 18.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,393.92
Current Value
$12,718.94
Period P&L
$1,325.02
Max Drawdown
-45.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+5.69%
Worst Trade
-3.31%
Avg Trade Return
+1.67%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$175,042.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,325.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,325.02
Gross Return
+11.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,393.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $22.86 498 $11,386.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $24.17 498 $12,034.17 $12,041.32 +$647.40
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET $22.65 531 $12,027.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $21.97 531 $11,663.42 $11,677.59 $-363.73
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $21.59 540 $11,661.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET $22.68 540 $12,249.90 $12,266.19 +$588.60
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $21.67 566 $12,265.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $22.78 566 $12,893.48 $12,894.45 +$628.26
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $21.79 591 $12,877.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:40am ET $22.92 591 $13,545.72 $13,562.28 +$667.83
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:40am ET $22.35 606 $13,544.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $21.61 606 $13,095.66 $13,113.84 $-448.44
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $18.24 718 $13,096.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.69 718 $12,701.42 $12,718.94 $-394.90
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,718.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,718.94
Total Return: +27.19%
Back to Danny Dip