Compendium › Danny Dip › XOM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XOM
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+1.99%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,399.41
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$8,235.73
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:32:59

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 2.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,235.73
Current Value
$8,399.41
Period P&L
$163.67
Max Drawdown
-7.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+5.13%
Worst Trade
-3.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.33%
Avg Hold Time
8.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$49,930.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$163.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$163.67
Gross Return
+1.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,235.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $139.51 60 $8,370.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $135.17 60 $8,110.20 $8,240.24 $-260.10
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET $152.95 53 $8,106.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:05am ET $160.80 53 $8,522.40 $8,656.29 +$416.05
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 10:50am ET $164.21 52 $8,538.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:00am ET $159.27 52 $8,282.04 $8,399.41 $-256.88
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,399.41
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,600.59
Total Return: -16.01%
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