Compendium › Danny Dip › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 12 trades in period

-1.47%
Last 3 Months Return
$2,819.98
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$2,798.72
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:46:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,816
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$2,798.72
Current Value
$2,819.98
Period P&L
$-41.01
Max Drawdown
-82.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+7.82%
Worst Trade
-5.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
14.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$72,871.27
Estimated Fees
$182.18
Gross P&L
$-41.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-223.19
Gross Return
-1.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.97%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $2,798.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 6:50pm ET $1.21 2,345 $2,838.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $1.15 2,345 $2,695.38 $2,681.55 $-157.17
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $1.12 2,385 $2,681.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $1.21 2,385 $2,891.22 $2,877.28 +$195.74
(+7.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:40pm ET $1.22 2,368 $2,877.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 8:45pm ET $1.28 2,368 $3,028.17 $3,013.41 +$136.13
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:20pm ET $1.25 2,417 $3,013.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:45am ET $1.31 2,417 $3,166.18 $3,150.73 +$137.32
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:15am ET $1.29 2,444 $3,150.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 5:25am ET $1.36 2,444 $3,324.74 $3,308.55 +$157.82
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:55am ET $1.49 2,222 $3,308.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $1.44 2,222 $3,198.01 $3,181.74 $-126.81
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $1.44 2,206 $3,181.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 5:30am ET $1.40 2,206 $3,079.78 $3,064.13 $-117.61
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $1.35 2,274 $3,064.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 7:45am ET $1.42 2,274 $3,223.74 $3,223.74 +$143.89
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:30pm ET $1.44 2,241 $3,223.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $1.39 2,241 $3,115.00 $3,115.00 $-124.58
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:40am ET $1.31 2,370 $3,115.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 4:50am ET $1.27 2,370 $3,017.33 $3,017.33 $-113.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 11:40pm ET $1.54 1,955 $3,017.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 7:30am ET $1.49 1,955 $2,919.78 $2,919.78 $-112.40
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 8:30am ET $1.46 1,995 $2,919.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 7:50pm ET $1.41 1,995 $2,819.98 $2,819.98 $-114.15
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,819.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,180.02
Total Return: -71.80%
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