AMC Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 53 trades in period
-37.79%
Last 6 Months Return
$2,997.98
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$4,819.37
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality
2.7/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 2.6
30-Day Momentum
2
-11.5%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$4,819.37
Current Value
$2,997.98
Period P&L
$-1,821.35
Max Drawdown
-52.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
53
Winners / Losers
19 /
34
Best Trade
+6.93%
Worst Trade
-25.59%
Avg Trade Return
-0.72%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$434,460.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,821.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,821.35
Gross Return
-37.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-37.79%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 53 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,819.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.01 | 4,795 | $4,818.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $0.9560 | 4,795 | $4,584.02 | $4,584.37 |
$-234.96 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $0.9866 | 4,646 | $4,583.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1.05 | 4,646 | $4,901.53 | $4,902.16 |
+$317.79 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.00 | 4,902 | $4,902.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.07 | 4,902 | $5,220.63 | $5,220.79 |
+$318.63 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.26 | 4,147 | $5,219.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.22 | 4,147 | $5,061.41 | $5,062.37 |
$-158.42 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $1.34 | 3,777 | $5,061.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 12:45pm ET | $1.29 | 3,777 | $4,872.33 | $4,873.52 |
$-188.85 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.39 | 3,506 | $4,872.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $1.34 | 3,506 | $4,697.69 | $4,698.22 |
$-175.30 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $1.49 | 3,153 | $4,697.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET | $1.57 | 3,153 | $4,936.34 | $4,936.59 |
+$238.37 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.57 | 3,144 | $4,936.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.67 | 3,144 | $5,250.48 | $5,250.68 |
+$314.09 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.79 | 2,933 | $5,250.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.71 | 2,933 | $5,016.02 | $5,016.63 |
$-234.05 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $1.73 | 2,908 | $5,016.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.67 | 2,908 | $4,865.37 | $4,865.70 |
$-150.93 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.61 | 3,031 | $4,864.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.54 | 3,031 | $4,667.74 | $4,668.68 |
$-197.02 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.52 | 3,061 | $4,668.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.48 | 3,061 | $4,514.98 | $4,515.63 |
$-153.05 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $1.53 | 2,951 | $4,515.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $1.48 | 2,951 | $4,352.73 | $4,353.33 |
$-162.30 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $1.63 | 2,670 | $4,352.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1.58 | 2,670 | $4,215.93 | $4,216.89 |
$-136.44 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.45 | 2,908 | $4,216.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.40 | 2,908 | $4,085.74 | $4,086.03 |
$-130.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.33 | 3,083 | $4,084.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.28 | 3,083 | $3,946.55 | $3,947.60 |
$-138.43 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.41 | 2,797 | $3,946.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 2:55pm ET | $1.36 | 2,797 | $3,803.92 | $3,804.95 |
$-142.65 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.48 | 2,579 | $3,804.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.55 | 2,579 | $3,997.45 | $3,998.37 |
+$193.42 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $1.56 | 2,563 | $3,998.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.64 | 2,563 | $4,203.32 | $4,203.41 |
+$205.04 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.94 | 2,171 | $4,201.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1.88 | 2,171 | $4,074.97 | $4,076.62 |
$-126.79 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $1.95 | 2,095 | $4,074.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $2.05 | 2,095 | $4,284.28 | $4,286.12 |
+$209.50 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $1.87 | 2,298 | $4,285.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1.99 | 2,298 | $4,575.32 | $4,575.67 |
+$289.55 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1.84 | 2,483 | $4,574.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $1.93 | 2,483 | $4,804.60 | $4,805.35 |
+$229.68 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 2:25pm ET | $2.22 | 2,164 | $4,804.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $2.35 | 2,164 | $5,074.58 | $5,075.85 |
+$270.50 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $2.29 | 2,216 | $5,074.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $2.40 | 2,216 | $5,329.48 | $5,330.69 |
+$254.84 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $2.73 | 1,952 | $5,328.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $2.64 | 1,952 | $5,153.28 | $5,155.01 |
$-175.68 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $2.77 | 1,864 | $5,153.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.06 | 1,864 | $3,834.81 | $3,835.86 |
$-1,319.15 (-25.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $2.05 | 1,875 | $3,834.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $2.15 | 1,875 | $4,040.62 | $4,042.11 |
+$206.25 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 10:55am ET | $1.77 | 2,277 | $4,041.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1.87 | 2,277 | $4,246.61 | $4,247.04 |
+$204.93 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $2.14 | 1,986 | $4,246.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $2.05 | 1,986 | $4,061.37 | $4,061.94 |
$-185.10 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $2.03 | 2,000 | $4,060.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:50am ET | $1.96 | 2,000 | $3,910.00 | $3,911.94 |
$-150.00 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1.87 | 2,097 | $3,910.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.81 | 2,097 | $3,790.75 | $3,791.78 |
$-120.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.68 | 2,257 | $3,791.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.61 | 2,257 | $3,643.02 | $3,643.72 |
$-148.06 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.89 | 1,927 | $3,641.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1.83 | 1,927 | $3,531.23 | $3,533.11 |
$-110.61 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1.92 | 1,838 | $3,532.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.05 | 1,838 | $3,758.71 | $3,759.18 |
+$226.07 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.99 | 1,889 | $3,759.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $1.92 | 1,889 | $3,626.69 | $3,626.76 |
$-132.42 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $2.20 | 1,649 | $3,625.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $2.13 | 1,649 | $3,513.69 | $3,515.29 |
$-111.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $2.34 | 1,505 | $3,514.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $2.26 | 1,505 | $3,401.30 | $3,402.41 |
$-112.88 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $2.26 | 1,507 | $3,402.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $2.19 | 1,507 | $3,300.18 | $3,300.24 |
$-102.17 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $2.25 | 1,468 | $3,298.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $2.38 | 1,468 | $3,488.70 | $3,490.35 |
+$190.11 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.64 | 1,322 | $3,490.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 2:00pm ET | $2.78 | 1,322 | $3,675.16 | $3,675.43 |
+$185.08 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.80 | 1,312 | $3,673.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $2.71 | 1,312 | $3,555.52 | $3,557.48 |
$-117.95 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $2.63 | 1,352 | $3,555.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $2.47 | 1,352 | $3,346.20 | $3,347.92 |
$-209.56 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $2.49 | 1,344 | $3,346.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $2.41 | 1,344 | $3,245.76 | $3,247.12 |
$-100.80 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $2.58 | 1,258 | $3,245.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $2.50 | 1,258 | $3,145.00 | $3,146.48 |
$-100.64 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $2.37 | 1,326 | $3,146.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:30am ET | $2.50 | 1,326 | $3,315.00 | $3,315.01 |
+$168.53 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $2.52 | 1,318 | $3,314.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $2.68 | 1,318 | $3,538.83 | $3,539.07 |
+$224.06 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $2.67 | 1,325 | $3,537.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 3:45pm ET | $2.58 | 1,325 | $3,418.50 | $3,419.82 |
$-119.25 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $2.56 | 1,335 | $3,417.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $2.69 | 1,335 | $3,591.15 | $3,593.37 |
+$173.55 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $2.64 | 1,361 | $3,593.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $2.56 | 1,361 | $3,484.30 | $3,484.63 |
$-108.74 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $2.67 | 1,302 | $3,482.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.48 | 1,302 | $3,235.47 | $3,237.25 |
$-247.38 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $2.49 | 1,300 | $3,237.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $2.41 | 1,300 | $3,132.87 | $3,133.12 |
$-104.13 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $2.89 | 1,082 | $3,132.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $2.77 | 1,082 | $2,997.25 | $2,997.98 |
$-135.14 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$2,997.98
Net Profit/Loss:
$-7,002.02
Total Return:
-70.02%