AMD Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 37 trades in period
+79.85%
Last 6 Months Return
$34,818.64
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$19,359.56
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
55
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
23.0/35
Total Return
19.9/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
56.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 54.9
30-Day Momentum
51
+14.2%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 76.4
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$19,359.56
Current Value
$34,818.64
Period P&L
$15,459.06
Max Drawdown
-37.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
20 /
17
Best Trade
+22.16%
Worst Trade
-6.71%
Avg Trade Return
+2.01%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,005,679.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$15,459.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$15,459.06
Gross Return
+79.85%
Net Return (after fees)
+79.85%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $19,359.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $198.49 | 89 | $17,665.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.51 | 89 | $18,823.95 | $18,954.19 |
+$1,158.33 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $213.72 | 88 | $18,807.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $207.07 | 88 | $18,222.16 | $18,368.99 |
$-585.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $200.43 | 91 | $18,239.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $193.90 | 91 | $17,645.35 | $17,775.22 |
$-593.77 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.05 | 87 | $17,752.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $214.54 | 87 | $18,664.55 | $18,687.42 |
+$912.20 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $275.30 | 67 | $18,445.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $291.27 | 67 | $19,515.09 | $19,757.41 |
+$1,069.99 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $334.30 | 59 | $19,723.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.88 | 59 | $18,400.63 | $18,434.04 |
$-1,323.37 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $349.38 | 52 | $18,167.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $426.80 | 52 | $22,193.60 | $22,459.88 |
+$4,025.84 (+22.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $407.39 | 55 | $22,406.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $430.13 | 55 | $23,657.15 | $23,710.31 |
+$1,250.43 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $449.26 | 52 | $23,361.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:55am ET | $433.90 | 52 | $22,562.79 | $22,911.84 |
$-798.47 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $433.34 | 52 | $22,533.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $419.68 | 52 | $21,823.36 | $22,201.52 |
$-710.32 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $404.73 | 54 | $21,855.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $428.04 | 54 | $23,114.16 | $23,459.99 |
+$1,258.47 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $433.77 | 54 | $23,423.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $469.87 | 54 | $25,372.98 | $25,409.66 |
+$1,949.67 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $488.82 | 51 | $24,929.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $514.67 | 51 | $26,248.17 | $26,728.01 |
+$1,318.35 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $495.99 | 53 | $26,287.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $533.82 | 53 | $28,292.46 | $28,733.00 |
+$2,004.99 (+7.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $514.98 | 55 | $28,323.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $499.12 | 55 | $27,451.60 | $27,860.70 |
$-872.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $474.36 | 58 | $27,512.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $459.48 | 58 | $26,650.13 | $26,998.24 |
$-862.46 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $461.15 | 58 | $26,746.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:15pm ET | $484.85 | 58 | $28,121.30 | $28,372.84 |
+$1,374.60 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $530.75 | 53 | $28,129.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $514.29 | 53 | $27,257.54 | $27,500.39 |
$-872.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $514.26 | 53 | $27,255.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $545.50 | 53 | $28,911.50 | $29,156.11 |
+$1,655.72 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $508.58 | 57 | $28,989.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $544.37 | 57 | $31,029.09 | $31,196.14 |
+$2,040.03 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $505.24 | 61 | $30,819.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $531.26 | 61 | $32,406.86 | $32,783.36 |
+$1,587.22 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $557.30 | 58 | $32,323.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $540.52 | 58 | $31,349.87 | $31,809.83 |
$-973.53 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $516.08 | 61 | $31,480.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $500.59 | 61 | $30,535.99 | $30,865.24 |
$-944.59 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $539.49 | 57 | $30,750.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $568.00 | 57 | $32,376.00 | $32,490.31 |
+$1,625.07 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $538.95 | 60 | $32,336.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $519.46 | 60 | $31,167.30 | $31,320.62 |
$-1,169.69 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $511.89 | 61 | $31,225.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:35pm ET | $496.42 | 61 | $30,281.32 | $30,376.64 |
$-943.98 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $527.34 | 57 | $30,058.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $554.70 | 57 | $31,617.89 | $31,936.15 |
+$1,559.51 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 12:55pm ET | $529.90 | 60 | $31,793.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $507.29 | 60 | $30,437.40 | $30,579.85 |
$-1,356.30 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $456.67 | 66 | $30,140.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $442.13 | 66 | $29,180.58 | $29,620.21 |
$-959.64 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $482.43 | 61 | $29,428.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $509.48 | 61 | $31,077.98 | $31,269.65 |
+$1,649.44 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $463.71 | 67 | $31,068.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 2:00pm ET | $489.36 | 67 | $32,787.12 | $32,988.20 |
+$1,718.55 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $484.67 | 68 | $32,957.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $465.90 | 68 | $31,681.54 | $31,712.18 |
$-1,276.02 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.00 | 64 | $31,232.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $468.69 | 64 | $29,996.16 | $30,476.34 |
$-1,235.84 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $457.93 | 66 | $30,223.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:50pm ET | $480.89 | 66 | $31,738.41 | $31,991.37 |
+$1,515.03 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $457.10 | 69 | $31,539.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.88 | 69 | $33,732.72 | $34,184.54 |
+$2,193.17 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $504.50 | 67 | $33,801.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $485.79 | 67 | $32,547.60 | $32,930.64 |
$-1,253.90 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $509.23 | 64 | $32,590.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $538.73 | 64 | $34,478.72 | $34,818.64 |
+$1,888.00 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$34,818.64
Net Profit/Loss:
+$24,818.64
Total Return:
+248.19%