Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:53:40

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.4/35
Total Return
18.0/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 52.1/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 50.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,676.18
Current Value
$24,436.18
Period P&L
$3,760.01
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+8.13%
Worst Trade
-5.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.99%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$899,675.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,760.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,760.01
Gross Return
+18.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $20,676.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $315.33 65 $20,496.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $304.81 65 $19,812.65 $19,992.37 $-683.80
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $292.64 68 $19,899.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $307.70 68 $20,923.77 $21,016.28 +$1,023.91
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $302.15 69 $20,848.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $326.71 69 $22,542.99 $22,710.92 +$1,694.64
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $409.89 55 $22,543.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $397.10 55 $21,840.23 $22,007.47 $-703.45
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $418.30 52 $21,751.34 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $439.60 52 $22,859.20 $23,115.33 +$1,107.86
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $407.90 56 $22,842.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $428.83 56 $24,014.48 $24,287.41 +$1,172.08
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
7 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:30am ET $417.02 58 $24,186.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $441.23 58 $25,591.34 $25,691.88 +$1,404.47
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $409.07 62 $25,362.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET $396.32 62 $24,571.84 $24,901.38 $-790.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $394.85 63 $24,875.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $382.73 63 $24,111.68 $24,137.82 $-763.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $382.83 63 $24,118.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $409.76 63 $25,815.13 $25,834.66 +$1,696.84
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:25am ET $398.43 64 $25,499.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $378.00 64 $24,192.00 $24,527.14 $-1,307.52
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET $373.93 65 $24,305.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET $361.26 65 $23,481.58 $23,703.27 $-823.87
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $364.37 65 $23,684.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:55am ET $382.86 65 $24,885.90 $24,905.09 +$1,201.82
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET $388.00 64 $24,832.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $376.18 64 $24,075.60 $24,148.69 $-756.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET $380.88 63 $23,995.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $402.92 63 $25,383.65 $25,536.90 +$1,388.21
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET $408.23 62 $25,310.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:05am ET $395.32 62 $24,509.84 $24,736.48 $-800.42
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $381.31 64 $24,403.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $369.81 64 $23,667.84 $24,000.48 $-736.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $350.86 68 $23,858.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $368.92 68 $25,086.90 $25,228.90 +$1,228.42
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $349.22 72 $25,143.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $338.21 72 $24,351.12 $24,436.18 $-792.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,436.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,436.18
Total Return: +144.36%
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