Compendium › Danny Dip › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 4 trades in period

+6.61%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,226.10
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$9,592.30
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:05:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
4.3/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.9/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 10.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,592.30
Current Value
$10,226.10
Period P&L
$633.79
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+8.72%
Worst Trade
-3.66%
Avg Trade Return
+1.79%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$82,443.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$633.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$633.79
Gross Return
+6.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,592.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $294.02 32 $9,408.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $319.66 32 $10,229.12 $10,412.63 +$820.32
(+8.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $341.89 30 $10,256.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:10am ET $359.41 30 $10,782.30 $10,938.23 +$525.60
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:05am ET $338.56 32 $10,833.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $326.17 32 $10,437.44 $10,541.75 $-396.48
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $315.31 33 $10,405.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $305.74 33 $10,089.58 $10,226.10 $-315.65
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,226.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$226.10
Total Return: +2.26%
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