Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.2/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
8.3/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 60.7/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 47.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,905
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,114.97
Current Value
$16,049.01
Period P&L
$934.04
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.43

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+5.90%
Worst Trade
-3.06%
Avg Trade Return
+1.63%
Avg Hold Time
8.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$171,207.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$934.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$934.04
Gross Return
+6.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $15,114.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $956.54 15 $14,348.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $956.04 15 $14,340.64 $14,682.11 $-7.46
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:55am ET $1,052.48 13 $13,682.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET $1,020.50 13 $13,266.50 $14,266.37 $-415.74
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $991.68 14 $13,883.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:25am ET $1,041.30 14 $14,578.20 $14,961.05 +$694.68
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET $985.81 15 $14,787.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET $955.60 15 $14,334.00 $14,507.90 $-453.15
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $1,073.55 13 $13,956.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $1,127.32 13 $14,655.16 $15,206.91 +$699.01
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,019.06 14 $14,266.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $1,079.21 14 $15,108.94 $16,049.01 +$842.10
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,049.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,049.01
Total Return: +60.49%
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