COIN Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 45 trades in period
+12.09%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,597.48
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$10,346.82
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
17.3/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 16.9
30-Day Momentum
3
-10.6%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,346.82
Current Value
$11,597.48
Period P&L
$1,250.62
Max Drawdown
-46.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
19 /
26
Best Trade
+9.30%
Worst Trade
-4.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$993,425.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,250.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,250.62
Gross Return
+12.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.09%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,346.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $198.01 | 51 | $10,098.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $190.04 | 51 | $9,692.04 | $9,763.67 |
$-406.47 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:55am ET | $183.27 | 53 | $9,713.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.64 | 53 | $9,361.92 | $9,412.28 |
$-351.39 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.16 | 56 | $9,304.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $160.47 | 56 | $8,986.30 | $9,093.62 |
$-318.66 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $160.52 | 56 | $8,989.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET | $168.68 | 56 | $9,446.36 | $9,550.86 |
+$457.24 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.01 | 57 | $9,462.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.70 | 57 | $10,014.62 | $10,102.62 |
+$551.76 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $169.49 | 59 | $10,000.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.94 | 59 | $10,911.46 | $11,013.88 |
+$911.26 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $169.43 | 65 | $11,013.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $164.34 | 65 | $10,682.10 | $10,682.70 |
$-331.18 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $189.90 | 56 | $10,634.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $199.77 | 56 | $11,187.12 | $11,235.42 |
+$552.72 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $200.56 | 56 | $11,231.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:55pm ET | $210.61 | 56 | $11,794.02 | $11,798.02 |
+$562.60 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $199.49 | 59 | $11,769.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.43 | 59 | $11,235.37 | $11,263.48 |
$-534.54 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.15 | 60 | $11,228.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $179.84 | 60 | $10,790.40 | $10,825.12 |
$-438.36 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $200.04 | 54 | $10,802.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $193.91 | 54 | $10,471.14 | $10,494.10 |
$-331.02 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.40 | 56 | $10,382.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $194.75 | 56 | $10,906.00 | $11,017.98 |
+$523.88 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $210.73 | 52 | $10,957.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:00pm ET | $203.65 | 52 | $10,589.80 | $10,649.82 |
$-368.16 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $197.50 | 53 | $10,467.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $208.15 | 53 | $11,032.21 | $11,214.53 |
+$564.71 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 11:20am ET | $193.24 | 58 | $11,207.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $187.37 | 58 | $10,867.40 | $10,874.01 |
$-340.52 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $187.57 | 57 | $10,691.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 1:55pm ET | $181.90 | 57 | $10,368.02 | $10,550.82 |
$-323.19 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.41 | 61 | $10,395.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $179.92 | 61 | $10,975.12 | $11,130.81 |
+$579.99 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.21 | 62 | $10,986.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 1:45pm ET | $186.40 | 62 | $11,556.80 | $11,700.77 |
+$569.96 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $168.62 | 69 | $11,634.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:25pm ET | $163.41 | 69 | $11,275.29 | $11,341.62 |
$-359.15 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.62 | 71 | $11,262.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $153.18 | 71 | $10,875.43 | $10,955.03 |
$-386.59 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.30 | 69 | $10,853.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:10pm ET | $152.53 | 69 | $10,524.71 | $10,626.04 |
$-328.99 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $156.26 | 68 | $10,625.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $164.16 | 68 | $11,162.88 | $11,163.24 |
+$537.20 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $167.64 | 66 | $11,064.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:10pm ET | $162.55 | 66 | $10,728.30 | $10,827.30 |
$-335.94 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.66 | 69 | $10,809.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $151.34 | 69 | $10,442.46 | $10,460.08 |
$-367.22 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.18 | 75 | $10,438.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $146.81 | 75 | $11,010.75 | $11,032.33 |
+$572.25 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $145.61 | 75 | $10,920.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $153.97 | 75 | $11,547.75 | $11,659.33 |
+$627.00 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $167.08 | 69 | $11,528.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.28 | 69 | $11,128.32 | $11,258.96 |
$-400.37 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $164.95 | 68 | $11,216.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.23 | 68 | $10,827.30 | $10,869.66 |
$-389.30 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $160.54 | 67 | $10,756.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 1:40pm ET | $155.53 | 67 | $10,420.51 | $10,533.66 |
$-336.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $160.97 | 65 | $10,463.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.41 | 65 | $9,971.97 | $10,042.58 |
$-491.08 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $159.11 | 63 | $10,023.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.90 | 63 | $10,955.70 | $10,974.35 |
+$931.77 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $170.99 | 64 | $10,943.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.93 | 64 | $10,427.52 | $10,458.54 |
$-515.81 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.10 | 66 | $10,434.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $166.67 | 66 | $11,000.22 | $11,024.16 |
+$565.62 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $161.04 | 68 | $10,951.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $169.13 | 68 | $11,500.84 | $11,573.94 |
+$549.78 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $160.07 | 72 | $11,525.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.28 | 72 | $11,036.16 | $11,084.70 |
$-489.24 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.02 | 76 | $10,945.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 1:10pm ET | $151.37 | 76 | $11,504.12 | $11,643.49 |
+$558.79 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.71 | 79 | $11,589.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:35am ET | $154.19 | 79 | $12,181.01 | $12,234.81 |
+$591.32 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $149.06 | 82 | $12,222.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $158.13 | 82 | $12,967.07 | $12,978.96 |
+$744.15 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.01 | 71 | $12,922.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $191.20 | 71 | $13,575.20 | $13,631.45 |
+$652.49 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $185.01 | 73 | $13,505.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $179.05 | 73 | $13,070.65 | $13,196.37 |
$-435.08 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.23 | 72 | $13,048.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $175.40 | 72 | $12,628.79 | $12,776.60 |
$-419.77 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.35 | 69 | $12,720.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $178.66 | 69 | $12,327.54 | $12,383.65 |
$-392.95 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.85 | 67 | $12,317.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $177.98 | 67 | $11,924.77 | $11,990.47 |
$-393.18 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $168.12 | 71 | $11,936.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $162.58 | 71 | $11,543.18 | $11,597.48 |
$-392.99 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,597.48
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,597.48
Total Return:
+15.97%