Compendium › Danny Dip › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 32 trades in period

-4.48%
Last 6 Months Return
$766.04
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$633.30
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:28:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.0

30-Day Momentum

28
+7.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.1 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,322
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
186 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$633.30
Current Value
$766.04
Period P&L
$-28.37
Max Drawdown
-94.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
14 / 18
Best Trade
+6.05%
Worst Trade
-3.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$45,283.04
Estimated Fees
$113.21
Gross P&L
$-28.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$-141.58
Gross Return
-4.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.36%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 186 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 32 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $633.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET $0.0883 7,718 $681.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 29, 2026 10:50pm ET $0.0928 7,718 $715.98 $715.98 +$31.26
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $0.0946 7,570 $715.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $0.0994 7,570 $752.35 $752.35 +$32.70
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 8:15am ET $0.1065 7,063 $752.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $0.1033 7,063 $729.50 $729.50 $-26.55
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:45pm ET $0.1021 7,146 $729.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 8:55pm ET $0.1083 7,146 $773.63 $773.63 +$40.37
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.2h held
5 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:50am ET $0.1128 6,861 $773.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:05am ET $0.1093 6,861 $749.86 $749.86 $-27.58
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 4:50pm ET $0.1066 7,035 $749.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 10, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.1120 7,035 $787.94 $787.94 +$34.24
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET $0.0956 8,245 $787.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 6:55pm ET $0.0922 8,245 $759.79 $759.79 $-32.02
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET $0.0882 8,613 $759.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:45am ET $0.0852 8,613 $734.25 $734.25 $-29.27
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $0.0837 8,769 $734.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:40am ET $0.0810 8,769 $710.59 $710.59 $-27.27
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $0.0800 8,880 $710.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 1:20am ET $0.0840 8,880 $746.34 $746.34 +$32.11
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:55am ET $0.0883 8,453 $746.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 7:20am ET $0.0856 8,453 $723.36 $723.36 $-26.65
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $0.0850 8,510 $723.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET $0.0823 8,510 $700.20 $700.20 $-26.72
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:05am ET $0.0765 9,152 $700.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $0.0741 9,152 $678.26 $678.26 $-25.38
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $0.0741 9,148 $678.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET $0.0716 9,148 $654.76 $654.76 $-26.83
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:05am ET $0.0727 9,010 $654.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 8:15am ET $0.0704 9,010 $634.58 $634.58 $-23.41
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 8:25am ET $0.0702 9,045 $634.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 6:30am ET $0.0737 9,045 $666.84 $666.84 +$29.01
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:00am ET $0.0749 8,899 $666.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:10pm ET $0.0727 8,899 $646.63 $646.63 $-23.49
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:45am ET $0.0709 9,125 $646.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $0.0687 9,125 $627.10 $627.10 $-22.72
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $0.0804 7,800 $627.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 4:35am ET $0.0846 7,800 $660.15 $660.15 +$29.83
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 7:55pm ET $0.0915 7,218 $660.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 11:25pm ET $0.0961 7,218 $693.73 $693.73 +$30.19
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $0.0914 7,590 $693.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 6:25am ET $0.0878 7,590 $666.55 $666.55 $-30.58
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 6:30am ET $0.0892 7,473 $666.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $0.0938 7,473 $700.95 $700.95 +$30.98
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 5:50pm ET $0.0919 7,627 $700.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 23, 2026 2:10am ET $0.0890 7,627 $678.90 $678.90 $-25.50
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $0.0892 7,612 $678.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 4:45pm ET $0.0864 7,612 $657.35 $657.35 $-24.89
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 5:10pm ET $0.0852 7,716 $657.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 5:25am ET $0.0895 7,716 $690.38 $690.38 +$29.66
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.5d held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $0.0846 8,157 $690.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 30, 2026 7:30pm ET $0.0819 8,157 $667.87 $667.87 $-25.91
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.0819 8,150 $667.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:50am ET $0.0867 8,150 $706.39 $706.39 +$35.09
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.6d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 8:35am ET $0.0852 8,289 $706.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $0.0895 8,289 $741.83 $741.83 +$31.82
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $0.0786 9,441 $741.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:20pm ET $0.0825 9,441 $779.25 $779.25 +$33.62
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:50am ET $0.1009 7,720 $779.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 6:30am ET $0.0977 7,720 $754.43 $754.43 $-28.65
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $0.0963 7,830 $754.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $0.0930 7,830 $728.14 $728.14 $-30.00
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 5:35am ET $0.0916 7,946 $728.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $0.0964 7,946 $766.04 $766.04 +$34.17
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $766.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,233.96
Total Return: -92.34%
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