HOOD Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 37 trades in period
-0.48%
Last 6 Months Return
$19,200.10
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$19,292.04
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
31
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.6/35
Total Return
16.4/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
31.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 30.8
30-Day Momentum
7
+1.2%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.1
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$19,292.04
Current Value
$19,200.10
Period P&L
$-92.03
Max Drawdown
-37.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
16 /
21
Best Trade
+7.44%
Worst Trade
-11.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,293,674.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-92.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-92.03
Gross Return
-0.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.48%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $19,292.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $70.91 | 261 | $18,507.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.74 | 261 | $17,941.14 | $17,950.55 |
$-566.37 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $65.07 | 275 | $17,895.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET | $68.46 | 275 | $18,826.47 | $18,881.40 |
+$930.85 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.19 | 280 | $18,814.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $70.58 | 280 | $19,763.80 | $19,830.88 |
+$949.48 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $73.46 | 269 | $19,759.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $69.95 | 269 | $18,816.55 | $18,888.03 |
$-942.85 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $85.03 | 222 | $18,875.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.10 | 222 | $20,002.20 | $20,014.68 |
+$1,126.65 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET | $89.20 | 224 | $19,980.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $86.38 | 224 | $19,349.12 | $19,383.00 |
$-631.68 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $85.58 | 226 | $19,340.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $83.00 | 226 | $18,758.00 | $18,800.71 |
$-582.29 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.47 | 230 | $18,738.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.15 | 230 | $16,593.97 | $16,656.58 |
$-2,144.13 (-11.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $78.24 | 212 | $16,586.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $75.72 | 212 | $16,052.64 | $16,122.34 |
$-534.24 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.85 | 207 | $16,114.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $75.15 | 207 | $15,556.05 | $15,563.44 |
$-558.90 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $73.56 | 211 | $15,520.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $77.75 | 211 | $16,405.25 | $16,448.58 |
+$885.14 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:20am ET | $86.11 | 191 | $16,446.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $90.68 | 191 | $17,319.88 | $17,321.98 |
+$873.40 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.68 | 195 | $17,291.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.11 | 195 | $16,596.45 | $16,626.80 |
$-695.18 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $84.93 | 195 | $16,560.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $82.22 | 195 | $16,033.87 | $16,100.30 |
$-526.50 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $84.44 | 190 | $16,043.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $81.89 | 190 | $15,559.39 | $15,616.08 |
$-484.22 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $87.61 | 178 | $15,594.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $92.20 | 178 | $16,411.60 | $16,433.10 |
+$817.02 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $96.21 | 170 | $16,356.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $101.18 | 170 | $17,199.75 | $17,276.30 |
+$843.20 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $105.07 | 164 | $17,232.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $111.35 | 164 | $18,261.40 | $18,305.56 |
+$1,029.26 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $98.64 | 185 | $18,247.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $94.76 | 185 | $17,530.60 | $17,588.69 |
$-716.88 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $98.33 | 178 | $17,503.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $103.56 | 178 | $18,433.68 | $18,518.74 |
+$930.05 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $115.51 | 160 | $18,481.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $111.69 | 160 | $17,870.40 | $17,907.54 |
$-611.20 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $114.86 | 155 | $17,803.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.75 | 155 | $17,166.56 | $17,270.78 |
$-636.76 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $114.06 | 151 | $17,222.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $110.47 | 151 | $16,681.72 | $16,730.20 |
$-540.58 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $112.49 | 148 | $16,647.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:40pm ET | $108.79 | 148 | $16,100.92 | $16,183.34 |
$-546.86 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $100.80 | 160 | $16,128.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $105.93 | 160 | $16,948.00 | $17,003.34 |
+$820.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.77 | 167 | $16,995.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $97.53 | 167 | $16,287.51 | $16,295.26 |
$-708.08 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $95.72 | 170 | $16,273.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.52 | 170 | $15,728.40 | $15,750.41 |
$-544.85 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $89.93 | 175 | $15,737.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $86.64 | 175 | $15,162.87 | $15,175.53 |
$-574.88 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:00am ET | $86.00 | 176 | $15,136.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $90.32 | 176 | $15,895.44 | $15,934.53 |
+$759.00 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $90.84 | 175 | $15,897.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $95.46 | 175 | $16,704.63 | $16,742.16 |
+$807.63 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.85 | 180 | $16,713.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 11:35am ET | $97.94 | 180 | $17,629.20 | $17,657.87 |
+$915.71 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $94.13 | 187 | $17,602.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.13 | 187 | $18,911.31 | $18,966.87 |
+$1,309.00 (+7.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $104.75 | 181 | $18,959.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:40am ET | $110.25 | 181 | $19,955.25 | $19,962.37 |
+$995.50 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $107.27 | 186 | $19,952.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.28 | 186 | $19,210.08 | $19,220.25 |
$-742.12 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $119.99 | 160 | $19,197.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $116.10 | 160 | $18,576.00 | $18,598.59 |
$-621.66 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.50 | 166 | $18,509.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET | $107.32 | 166 | $17,815.95 | $17,905.54 |
$-693.05 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $102.46 | 174 | $17,828.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.90 | 174 | $19,122.60 | $19,200.10 |
+$1,294.56 (+7.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,200.10
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,200.10
Total Return:
+92.00%