LCID Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 49 trades in period
-37.43%
Last 6 Months Return
$3,059.72
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$4,890.45
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality
3.3/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 3.3
30-Day Momentum
3
-10.8%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,977
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$4,890.45
Current Value
$3,059.72
Period P&L
$-1,830.74
Max Drawdown
-57.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
49
Winners / Losers
15 /
34
Best Trade
+6.81%
Worst Trade
-8.26%
Avg Trade Return
-0.82%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$397,883.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,830.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,830.74
Gross Return
-37.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-37.43%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 49 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,890.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $10.27 | 467 | $4,793.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:50pm ET | $9.94 | 467 | $4,641.98 | $4,647.62 |
$-151.78 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $9.59 | 484 | $4,641.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $9.29 | 484 | $4,496.36 | $4,502.42 |
$-145.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $8.99 | 500 | $4,497.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $8.71 | 500 | $4,355.05 | $4,359.97 |
$-142.45 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $8.34 | 523 | $4,359.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:10pm ET | $8.82 | 523 | $4,615.47 | $4,616.24 |
+$256.27 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $8.52 | 541 | $4,612.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $8.22 | 541 | $4,447.02 | $4,451.24 |
$-165.00 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $7.47 | 595 | $4,445.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $7.86 | 595 | $4,673.73 | $4,679.48 |
+$228.24 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $7.05 | 663 | $4,677.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $6.83 | 663 | $4,528.29 | $4,530.31 |
$-149.17 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $6.93 | 653 | $4,528.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.66 | 653 | $4,348.78 | $4,350.54 |
$-179.77 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $6.07 | 716 | $4,345.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.84 | 716 | $4,181.44 | $4,186.43 |
$-164.11 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $5.72 | 732 | $4,183.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $6.02 | 732 | $4,406.64 | $4,409.69 |
+$223.26 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.54 | 674 | $4,407.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $6.34 | 674 | $4,273.83 | $4,275.56 |
$-134.13 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.08 | 703 | $4,274.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $5.90 | 703 | $4,145.59 | $4,146.84 |
$-128.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $5.98 | 693 | $4,144.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $6.29 | 693 | $4,359.73 | $4,362.36 |
+$215.52 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 11:05am ET | $5.90 | 739 | $4,360.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $6.21 | 739 | $4,589.19 | $4,591.45 |
+$229.09 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 2:45pm ET | $6.34 | 723 | $4,586.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.03 | 723 | $4,359.69 | $4,365.08 |
$-226.37 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.89 | 741 | $4,360.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:50am ET | $5.70 | 741 | $4,220.00 | $4,224.29 |
$-140.79 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $6.65 | 635 | $4,222.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $6.45 | 635 | $4,092.58 | $4,094.12 |
$-130.17 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $5.55 | 737 | $4,094.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $5.34 | 737 | $3,939.26 | $3,939.35 |
$-154.77 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $5.29 | 744 | $3,935.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $5.13 | 744 | $3,816.72 | $3,820.38 |
$-118.97 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $4.89 | 780 | $3,818.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $4.74 | 780 | $3,701.10 | $3,703.38 |
$-117.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $5.16 | 718 | $3,701.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.45 | 718 | $3,913.10 | $3,915.19 |
+$211.81 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.14 | 762 | $3,912.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $4.97 | 762 | $3,790.95 | $3,793.27 |
$-121.92 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $5.18 | 731 | $3,790.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $5.47 | 731 | $3,994.92 | $3,997.95 |
+$204.68 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.46 | 618 | $3,992.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 3:40pm ET | $6.79 | 618 | $4,196.22 | $4,201.89 |
+$203.94 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.62 | 634 | $4,197.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.41 | 634 | $4,067.11 | $4,071.92 |
$-129.97 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $6.18 | 658 | $4,066.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $6.51 | 658 | $4,280.29 | $4,285.77 |
+$213.85 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $5.82 | 735 | $4,281.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $5.64 | 735 | $4,149.07 | $4,153.47 |
$-132.30 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $5.47 | 759 | $4,151.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:50pm ET | $5.08 | 759 | $3,855.72 | $3,857.54 |
$-295.93 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 3:25pm ET | $5.80 | 665 | $3,853.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $6.19 | 665 | $4,116.28 | $4,120.15 |
+$262.61 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $6.58 | 626 | $4,119.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $6.97 | 626 | $4,360.09 | $4,361.16 |
+$241.01 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 11:40am ET | $7.08 | 616 | $4,361.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:10pm ET | $7.47 | 616 | $4,604.60 | $4,604.60 |
+$243.44 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $7.49 | 615 | $4,603.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 11:55am ET | $7.22 | 615 | $4,443.37 | $4,444.70 |
$-159.90 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $6.43 | 690 | $4,440.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $6.14 | 690 | $4,233.15 | $4,237.70 |
$-207.00 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $6.35 | 667 | $4,235.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $6.71 | 667 | $4,475.57 | $4,477.82 |
+$240.12 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $7.89 | 567 | $4,470.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $7.58 | 567 | $4,297.86 | $4,304.88 |
$-172.94 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:15am ET | $7.58 | 567 | $4,297.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:30pm ET | $7.34 | 567 | $4,158.95 | $4,165.97 |
$-138.91 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 2:45pm ET | $7.57 | 550 | $4,160.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.94 | 550 | $3,817.00 | $3,822.22 |
$-343.75 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.76 | 565 | $3,819.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.15 | 565 | $4,039.75 | $4,042.57 |
+$220.35 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.66 | 606 | $4,038.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $6.41 | 606 | $3,887.49 | $3,891.07 |
$-151.50 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $6.34 | 613 | $3,889.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $6.15 | 613 | $3,769.95 | $3,771.54 |
$-119.53 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $6.03 | 624 | $3,765.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 1:50pm ET | $5.84 | 624 | $3,647.28 | $3,652.98 |
$-118.56 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $5.51 | 663 | $3,649.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $5.34 | 663 | $3,537.11 | $3,540.27 |
$-112.71 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.13 | 690 | $3,539.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $4.95 | 690 | $3,418.95 | $3,419.52 |
$-120.75 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $5.16 | 663 | $3,417.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 11:25am ET | $4.99 | 663 | $3,311.68 | $3,313.44 |
$-106.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $4.72 | 701 | $3,312.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:40pm ET | $4.58 | 701 | $3,210.58 | $3,211.80 |
$-101.64 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $4.74 | 677 | $3,208.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:45pm ET | $4.57 | 677 | $3,097.27 | $3,100.10 |
$-111.70 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $4.55 | 681 | $3,098.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $4.39 | 681 | $2,992.99 | $2,994.54 |
$-105.56 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $4.03 | 743 | $2,990.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $4.24 | 743 | $3,154.03 | $3,158.00 |
+$163.46 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $4.18 | 756 | $3,156.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $4.05 | 756 | $3,058.02 | $3,059.72 |
$-98.28 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$3,059.72
Net Profit/Loss:
$-6,940.28
Total Return:
-69.40%