LINKUSD Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-12-21 to present • 48 trades in period
-38.11%
Last 6 Months Return
$380.80
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$532.86
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.0/10
Raw Quality
2.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 2.0
30-Day Momentum
9
-15.4%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,621
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-21 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
183 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$532.86
Current Value
$380.80
Period P&L
$-203.09
Max Drawdown
-96.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
16 /
32
Best Trade
+6.62%
Worst Trade
-4.43%
Avg Trade Return
-0.37%
Avg Hold Time
23.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$39,606.33
Estimated Fees
$99.02
Gross P&L
$-203.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-302.11
Gross Return
-38.11%
Net Return (after fees)
-56.70%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 183 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $532.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:10am ET | $12.09 | 44 | $532.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 28, 2025 9:05pm ET | $12.71 | 44 | $560.28 | $557.55 |
+$24.77 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $13.73 | 41 | $557.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $13.31 | 41 | $540.29 | $537.55 |
$-20.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $13.75 | 39 | $537.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 6:50pm ET | $13.33 | 39 | $521.24 | $518.60 |
$-18.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 6:55pm ET | $13.31 | 39 | $518.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET | $12.90 | 39 | $502.68 | $500.12 |
$-18.48 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:10pm ET | $12.82 | 39 | $500.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $12.35 | 39 | $482.02 | $479.56 |
$-20.56 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $12.14 | 40 | $479.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $11.73 | 40 | $463.60 | $461.24 |
$-18.32 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $11.21 | 41 | $461.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $10.83 | 41 | $445.85 | $443.58 |
$-17.66 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 8:40pm ET | $10.77 | 41 | $443.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 3:35am ET | $10.42 | 41 | $429.49 | $427.31 |
$-16.27 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET | $10.04 | 43 | $427.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $9.59 | 43 | $408.36 | $406.27 |
$-21.04 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:15pm ET | $9.66 | 42 | $406.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 6:05pm ET | $9.27 | 42 | $389.66 | $387.67 |
$-18.60 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 6:15pm ET | $9.31 | 42 | $387.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 10:35pm ET | $9.03 | 42 | $376.01 | $374.10 |
$-13.57 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:40pm ET | $9.07 | 41 | $374.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 4:25am ET | $9.53 | 41 | $393.03 | $391.12 |
+$17.01 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $9.42 | 42 | $391.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $9.13 | 42 | $379.00 | $377.07 |
$-14.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:30pm ET | $9.17 | 41 | $377.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $9.73 | 41 | $399.98 | $398.03 |
+$20.96 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 5:20pm ET | $9.57 | 42 | $398.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $9.23 | 42 | $383.77 | $381.82 |
$-16.22 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 5:05pm ET | $9.08 | 42 | $381.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $8.77 | 42 | $368.64 | $366.76 |
$-15.06 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $8.70 | 42 | $366.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $8.36 | 42 | $352.72 | $350.92 |
$-15.84 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $8.32 | 42 | $350.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $8.04 | 42 | $338.94 | $337.22 |
$-13.70 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $8.00 | 42 | $337.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $7.72 | 42 | $325.33 | $323.68 |
$-13.54 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $7.41 | 44 | $323.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $7.90 | 44 | $345.09 | $343.42 |
+$19.74 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:40pm ET | $7.89 | 44 | $343.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET | $8.36 | 44 | $364.02 | $362.25 |
+$18.83 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET | $8.07 | 45 | $362.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.48 | 45 | $380.61 | $378.75 |
+$16.50 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 2:10am ET | $8.69 | 44 | $378.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET | $8.64 | 44 | $376.91 | $375.02 |
$-3.73 (-0.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET | $8.28 | 45 | $375.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 7:20am ET | $8.73 | 45 | $395.20 | $395.20 |
+$18.26 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 6:45pm ET | $9.21 | 43 | $395.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $8.90 | 43 | $382.17 | $382.17 |
$-14.98 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET | $8.42 | 45 | $382.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 4:00pm ET | $8.84 | 45 | $401.38 | $401.38 |
+$17.25 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $9.11 | 44 | $401.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $8.81 | 44 | $388.07 | $388.07 |
$-15.29 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $8.79 | 44 | $388.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 8, 2026 12:35pm ET | $8.51 | 44 | $375.83 | $375.83 |
$-14.15 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 8, 2026 6:00pm ET | $8.40 | 45 | $375.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:45am ET | $8.87 | 45 | $396.66 | $396.66 |
+$18.90 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $9.27 | 43 | $396.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 14, 2026 2:35am ET | $8.98 | 43 | $384.47 | $384.47 |
$-14.14 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 8:05am ET | $9.51 | 40 | $384.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:55am ET | $9.20 | 40 | $371.99 | $371.99 |
$-14.37 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET | $8.73 | 43 | $371.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $9.17 | 43 | $390.87 | $390.87 |
+$16.97 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET | $8.22 | 48 | $390.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 29, 2026 10:50pm ET | $8.65 | 48 | $411.07 | $411.07 |
+$18.19 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:40pm ET | $8.72 | 47 | $411.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:05am ET | $8.45 | 47 | $398.37 | $398.37 |
$-14.72 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2026 9:50pm ET | $8.77 | 45 | $398.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 6:20pm ET | $9.24 | 45 | $419.65 | $419.65 |
+$19.23 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $9.13 | 46 | $419.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $9.62 | 46 | $441.84 | $441.84 |
+$20.03 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 6:15am ET | $9.35 | 47 | $441.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 5:05pm ET | $9.82 | 47 | $464.21 | $464.21 |
+$20.10 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 10, 2026 4:50pm ET | $10.44 | 44 | $464.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $10.13 | 44 | $450.18 | $450.18 |
$-16.31 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $9.55 | 47 | $450.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2026 3:35am ET | $9.26 | 47 | $436.50 | $436.50 |
$-15.89 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.5h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 12:05am ET | $8.80 | 50 | $436.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:00pm ET | $9.26 | 50 | $459.00 | $459.00 |
+$20.26 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $8.55 | 54 | $459.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 7:30pm ET | $8.26 | 54 | $443.36 | $443.36 |
$-17.89 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:20pm ET | $8.13 | 55 | $443.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET | $7.82 | 55 | $426.51 | $426.51 |
$-19.03 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:10pm ET | $7.93 | 54 | $426.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 1:50am ET | $7.69 | 54 | $413.54 | $413.54 |
$-15.07 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:05am ET | $7.60 | 54 | $413.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $7.37 | 54 | $401.10 | $401.10 |
$-14.47 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $7.35 | 55 | $401.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2026 12:20am ET | $7.12 | 55 | $388.24 | $388.24 |
$-14.83 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.3h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2026 12:25am ET | $7.14 | 54 | $388.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2026 9:15pm ET | $7.50 | 54 | $407.80 | $407.80 |
+$17.57 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 8:40pm ET | $7.83 | 52 | $407.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 4:10pm ET | $7.58 | 52 | $394.80 | $394.80 |
$-15.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $8.12 | 49 | $394.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $7.83 | 49 | $380.80 | $380.80 |
$-15.94 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$380.80
Net Profit/Loss:
$-9,619.20
Total Return:
-96.19%