LTCUSD Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 44 trades in period
-39.92%
Last 6 Months Return
$3,371.31
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$5,470.74
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality
5.5/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 4.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,304
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
182 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$5,470.74
Current Value
$3,371.31
Period P&L
$-2,183.76
Max Drawdown
-84.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
15 /
29
Best Trade
+6.33%
Worst Trade
-7.80%
Avg Trade Return
-0.56%
Avg Hold Time
1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$357,380.40
Estimated Fees
$893.45
Gross P&L
$-2,183.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,077.21
Gross Return
-39.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-56.25%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 182 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $5,470.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 1:50pm ET | $101.32 | 54 | $5,470.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 8, 2025 9:15am ET | $98.24 | 54 | $5,304.50 | $5,277.56 |
$-193.24 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 8, 2025 7:15pm ET | $105.99 | 50 | $5,277.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 8, 2025 9:30pm ET | $101.75 | 50 | $5,066.44 | $5,040.58 |
$-236.98 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 8, 2025 9:35pm ET | $101.98 | 49 | $5,040.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 9, 2025 9:25am ET | $108.44 | 49 | $5,359.88 | $5,333.88 |
+$293.30 (+6.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 9, 2025 11:10am ET | $105.94 | 50 | $5,333.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 9, 2025 3:30pm ET | $111.91 | 50 | $5,634.46 | $5,607.03 |
+$273.16 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 9, 2025 6:15pm ET | $109.82 | 51 | $5,607.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 7:30am ET | $106.22 | 51 | $5,423.23 | $5,395.66 |
$-211.38 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 4:30pm ET | $104.92 | 51 | $5,395.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 8:50am ET | $101.65 | 51 | $5,227.49 | $5,200.93 |
$-194.72 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 9:45am ET | $100.89 | 52 | $5,200.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 11:10am ET | $97.33 | 52 | $5,017.36 | $4,991.82 |
$-209.12 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:15am ET | $98.11 | 51 | $4,991.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 1:20pm ET | $94.86 | 51 | $4,826.70 | $4,802.16 |
$-189.66 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET | $94.34 | 51 | $4,802.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 2:35pm ET | $99.19 | 51 | $5,049.03 | $5,024.41 |
+$222.25 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 15, 2025 9:15am ET | $105.91 | 47 | $5,024.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 15, 2025 12:15pm ET | $102.35 | 47 | $4,855.52 | $4,830.82 |
$-193.59 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 16, 2025 10:50am ET | $97.96 | 49 | $4,830.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 16, 2025 4:25pm ET | $95.00 | 49 | $4,684.85 | $4,661.06 |
$-169.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 1:20pm ET | $92.77 | 50 | $4,661.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:00pm ET | $89.71 | 50 | $4,507.32 | $4,484.39 |
$-176.67 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $88.55 | 51 | $4,484.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET | $82.79 | 51 | $4,192.69 | $4,171.00 |
$-313.39 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 2:35am ET | $84.22 | 50 | $4,171.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 6:55am ET | $81.65 | 50 | $4,043.72 | $4,023.18 |
$-147.82 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 7:20am ET | $80.12 | 50 | $4,023.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:50am ET | $84.26 | 50 | $4,231.07 | $4,210.44 |
+$187.25 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:00am ET | $81.40 | 52 | $4,210.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:15pm ET | $85.52 | 52 | $4,423.60 | $4,402.01 |
+$191.57 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 7:05pm ET | $80.74 | 55 | $4,402.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 30, 2025 7:50pm ET | $78.02 | 55 | $4,253.72 | $4,232.08 |
$-169.94 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 7:55pm ET | $78.02 | 54 | $4,232.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $75.12 | 54 | $4,074.77 | $4,054.00 |
$-178.07 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 7, 2025 5:05pm ET | $80.61 | 50 | $4,054.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:25am ET | $84.66 | 50 | $4,257.68 | $4,236.90 |
+$182.90 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 8:10pm ET | $82.12 | 52 | $4,236.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $79.54 | 52 | $4,103.79 | $4,082.94 |
$-153.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:15am ET | $78.36 | 52 | $4,082.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 1:40pm ET | $75.86 | 52 | $3,952.68 | $3,932.59 |
$-150.35 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $75.62 | 52 | $3,932.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 2:40pm ET | $73.27 | 52 | $3,810.38 | $3,791.02 |
$-141.57 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 2:45pm ET | $73.15 | 52 | $3,791.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 11:05am ET | $76.84 | 52 | $3,982.26 | $3,962.82 |
+$171.80 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:35pm ET | $73.40 | 54 | $3,962.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET | $69.91 | 54 | $3,774.40 | $3,755.06 |
$-207.77 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET | $69.46 | 54 | $3,755.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 1:25pm ET | $67.35 | 54 | $3,640.99 | $3,622.50 |
$-132.56 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $66.58 | 54 | $3,622.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 5:25am ET | $70.20 | 54 | $3,819.46 | $3,800.85 |
+$178.35 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 12:20pm ET | $67.32 | 56 | $3,800.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $65.28 | 56 | $3,685.67 | $3,666.96 |
$-133.89 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $65.47 | 56 | $3,666.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:30am ET | $63.50 | 56 | $3,556.62 | $3,538.56 |
$-128.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET | $60.05 | 59 | $3,538.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $57.99 | 59 | $3,417.17 | $3,399.78 |
$-138.78 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:15pm ET | $58.36 | 58 | $3,399.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 10:35pm ET | $56.54 | 58 | $3,293.76 | $3,277.02 |
$-122.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:40pm ET | $56.76 | 58 | $3,277.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 7:25am ET | $59.67 | 58 | $3,444.74 | $3,427.94 |
+$150.91 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $57.75 | 59 | $3,427.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET | $60.89 | 59 | $3,614.32 | $3,596.72 |
+$168.78 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:10am ET | $56.28 | 64 | $3,596.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $54.58 | 64 | $3,488.07 | $3,470.36 |
$-126.35 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $54.83 | 63 | $3,470.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $52.97 | 63 | $3,352.64 | $3,335.58 |
$-134.78 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $53.64 | 62 | $3,335.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $51.43 | 62 | $3,198.15 | $3,181.82 |
$-153.76 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $51.04 | 62 | $3,181.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $47.06 | 62 | $2,933.70 | $2,918.42 |
$-263.40 (-7.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $46.18 | 63 | $2,918.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET | $48.66 | 63 | $3,075.14 | $3,060.16 |
+$141.74 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $49.65 | 62 | $3,060.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET | $52.44 | 62 | $3,232.12 | $3,216.39 |
+$156.23 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET | $50.61 | 64 | $3,216.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 8:15am ET | $53.18 | 64 | $3,379.72 | $3,363.23 |
+$146.84 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $53.28 | 63 | $3,363.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 8:50am ET | $51.66 | 63 | $3,261.21 | $3,261.21 |
$-118.58 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET | $51.77 | 63 | $3,261.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 7:50am ET | $54.50 | 63 | $3,433.18 | $3,433.18 |
+$155.24 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 6:35pm ET | $56.62 | 61 | $3,433.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $54.62 | 61 | $3,311.91 | $3,311.91 |
$-138.13 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET | $52.96 | 63 | $3,311.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:45am ET | $55.61 | 63 | $3,477.63 | $3,477.63 |
+$148.75 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 8:35am ET | $55.93 | 62 | $3,477.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET | $54.22 | 62 | $3,371.31 | $3,371.31 |
$-123.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$3,371.31
Net Profit/Loss:
$-6,628.69
Total Return:
-66.29%