Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:15:04

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
8.4/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 18.2/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 13.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,604.22
Current Value
$10,925.86
Period P&L
$321.65
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+5.06%
Worst Trade
-3.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.67%
Avg Hold Time
5.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$109,511.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$321.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$321.65
Gross Return
+3.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,604.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $117.14 90 $10,542.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $123.01 90 $11,070.90 $11,132.51 +$528.30
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $113.75 97 $11,033.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $110.22 97 $10,691.82 $10,791.07 $-341.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:05am ET $115.68 93 $10,758.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:05am ET $121.54 93 $11,302.92 $11,335.75 +$544.68
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $115.21 98 $11,290.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:15am ET $111.65 98 $10,942.19 $10,987.36 $-348.39
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $146.27 75 $10,970.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $145.45 75 $10,908.75 $10,925.86 $-61.50
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,925.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$925.86
Total Return: +9.26%
Back to Danny Dip