MU Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 43 trades in period
+80.94%
Last 6 Months Return
$22,593.75
Current Value
49%
Win Rate
$12,487.17
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
39
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
12.5/35
Total Return
17.5/25
Win Rate
1.7/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
39.7/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 38.5
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,487.17
Current Value
$22,593.75
Period P&L
$10,106.60
Max Drawdown
-35.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
21 /
22
Best Trade
+23.71%
Worst Trade
-8.72%
Avg Trade Return
+1.50%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,665,661.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,106.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,106.60
Gross Return
+80.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+80.94%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,487.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $391.70 | 33 | $12,926.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $377.00 | 33 | $12,441.00 | $12,454.15 |
$-485.10 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $369.00 | 33 | $12,177.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $357.85 | 33 | $11,809.05 | $12,086.20 |
$-367.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $345.18 | 35 | $12,081.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $332.80 | 35 | $11,648.00 | $11,652.72 |
$-433.48 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.91 | 34 | $11,590.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $358.14 | 34 | $12,176.76 | $12,238.68 |
+$585.96 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $368.20 | 33 | $12,150.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.18 | 33 | $13,668.10 | $13,756.02 |
+$1,517.34 (+12.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $401.55 | 34 | $13,652.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $423.13 | 34 | $14,386.25 | $14,489.57 |
+$733.55 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $449.54 | 32 | $14,385.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $474.45 | 32 | $15,182.56 | $15,287.01 |
+$797.44 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $475.27 | 32 | $15,208.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $499.12 | 32 | $15,971.84 | $16,050.05 |
+$763.04 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $502.27 | 31 | $15,570.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $527.40 | 31 | $16,349.40 | $16,829.08 |
+$779.03 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $510.53 | 32 | $16,336.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $537.09 | 32 | $17,187.04 | $17,679.32 |
+$850.24 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $629.81 | 28 | $17,634.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $662.80 | 28 | $18,558.40 | $18,603.04 |
+$923.72 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:50am ET | $658.08 | 28 | $18,426.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET | $637.79 | 28 | $17,858.12 | $18,034.92 |
$-568.12 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $773.85 | 23 | $17,798.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $813.78 | 23 | $18,716.97 | $18,953.23 |
+$918.31 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $731.76 | 25 | $18,294.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $708.73 | 25 | $17,718.37 | $18,377.60 |
$-575.63 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:30am ET | $663.80 | 27 | $17,922.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $700.85 | 27 | $18,922.95 | $19,377.95 |
+$1,000.35 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $914.05 | 21 | $19,195.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $969.00 | 21 | $20,349.00 | $20,531.80 |
+$1,153.85 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $1,034.80 | 19 | $19,661.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $991.76 | 19 | $18,843.44 | $19,714.04 |
$-817.76 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $933.59 | 21 | $19,605.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $902.37 | 21 | $18,949.68 | $19,058.32 |
$-655.72 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $952.70 | 20 | $19,054.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $916.71 | 20 | $18,334.20 | $18,338.52 |
$-719.80 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $913.17 | 20 | $18,263.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $965.06 | 20 | $19,301.20 | $19,376.32 |
+$1,037.80 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $1,064.58 | 18 | $19,162.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $1,029.87 | 18 | $18,537.66 | $18,751.60 |
$-624.72 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,049.93 | 17 | $17,848.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,108.30 | 17 | $18,841.10 | $19,743.89 |
+$992.29 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,078.93 | 18 | $19,420.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1,043.23 | 18 | $18,778.14 | $19,101.38 |
$-642.51 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET | $992.80 | 19 | $18,863.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,228.15 | 19 | $23,334.76 | $23,572.94 |
+$4,471.56 (+23.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,138.53 | 20 | $22,770.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,095.65 | 20 | $21,913.00 | $22,715.34 |
$-857.60 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,073.73 | 21 | $22,548.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $1,039.58 | 21 | $21,831.18 | $21,998.19 |
$-717.15 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $917.57 | 23 | $21,104.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,012.41 | 23 | $23,285.43 | $24,179.51 |
+$2,181.32 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $961.78 | 25 | $24,044.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $929.94 | 25 | $23,248.50 | $23,383.51 |
$-796.00 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $952.45 | 24 | $22,858.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $921.04 | 24 | $22,104.96 | $22,629.76 |
$-753.75 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $866.00 | 26 | $22,516.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $825.00 | 26 | $21,450.00 | $21,563.76 |
$-1,066.00 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $859.73 | 25 | $21,493.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $923.13 | 25 | $23,078.25 | $23,148.76 |
+$1,585.00 (+7.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $940.77 | 24 | $22,578.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $990.18 | 24 | $23,764.22 | $24,334.58 |
+$1,185.82 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $951.03 | 25 | $23,775.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $922.26 | 25 | $23,056.50 | $23,615.33 |
$-719.25 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $844.54 | 27 | $22,802.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $814.83 | 27 | $22,000.28 | $22,813.03 |
$-802.30 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $796.61 | 28 | $22,305.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $771.09 | 28 | $21,590.52 | $22,098.33 |
$-714.70 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET | $888.91 | 24 | $21,333.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $846.34 | 24 | $20,312.16 | $21,076.61 |
$-1,021.72 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $787.11 | 26 | $20,464.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $826.55 | 26 | $21,490.30 | $22,102.05 |
+$1,025.44 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $841.43 | 26 | $21,877.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $887.65 | 26 | $23,078.77 | $23,303.64 |
+$1,201.59 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $855.30 | 27 | $23,093.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $916.79 | 27 | $24,753.33 | $24,963.73 |
+$1,660.09 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $957.26 | 26 | $24,888.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $922.00 | 26 | $23,972.00 | $24,046.97 |
$-916.76 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $935.35 | 25 | $23,383.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $906.79 | 25 | $22,669.87 | $23,333.10 |
$-713.87 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $920.64 | 25 | $23,016.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $974.49 | 25 | $24,362.25 | $24,679.35 |
+$1,346.25 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $996.58 | 24 | $23,917.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $909.68 | 24 | $21,832.32 | $22,593.75 |
$-2,085.60 (-8.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$22,593.75
Net Profit/Loss:
+$12,593.75
Total Return:
+125.94%