Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:08:16

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.4/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 20.3/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 16.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,975.29
Current Value
$11,484.55
Period P&L
$-1,490.74
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+5.62%
Worst Trade
-3.45%
Avg Trade Return
-1.29%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$212,980.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,490.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,490.74
Gross Return
-11.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,975.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $96.05 135 $12,967.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $93.03 135 $12,558.38 $12,566.64 $-408.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $83.49 150 $12,523.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $80.61 150 $12,091.50 $12,134.66 $-431.98
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $78.86 153 $12,066.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $76.47 153 $11,699.91 $11,768.23 $-366.43
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:20am ET $75.12 156 $11,718.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 12:10pm ET $72.75 156 $11,349.00 $11,398.51 $-369.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $75.97 150 $11,395.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:45am ET $73.62 150 $11,043.00 $11,046.01 $-352.50
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $65.44 168 $10,994.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 11:35am ET $68.75 168 $11,550.02 $11,601.27 +$555.26
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $71.21 162 $11,536.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $75.22 162 $12,185.64 $12,250.08 +$648.81
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:55am ET $79.95 153 $12,232.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $77.47 153 $11,852.91 $11,870.64 $-379.44
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $78.15 151 $11,800.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:50am ET $75.59 151 $11,414.56 $11,484.55 $-386.09
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,484.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,484.55
Total Return: +14.85%
Back to Danny Dip