Compendium › Danny Dip › REGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
REGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 5 trades in period

-0.86%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,632.46
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$11,733.54
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:52

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.5/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 22.1/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 17.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,900
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,733.54
Current Value
$11,632.46
Period P&L
$-101.08
Max Drawdown
-23.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+5.17%
Worst Trade
-5.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.37%
Avg Hold Time
7.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$113,259.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-101.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-101.08
Gross Return
-0.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,733.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 10:00am ET $736.72 15 $11,050.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $773.72 15 $11,605.80 $12,034.29 +$555.07
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $755.26 15 $11,328.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $754.04 15 $11,310.60 $12,015.94 $-18.35
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $741.34 16 $11,861.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $703.09 16 $11,249.44 $11,404.02 $-611.92
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $612.01 18 $11,016.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:45am ET $643.64 18 $11,585.52 $11,973.36 +$569.34
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $806.85 14 $11,295.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:35am ET $782.50 14 $10,955.00 $11,632.46 $-340.90
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,632.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,632.46
Total Return: +16.32%
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