RIOT Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 53 trades in period
-0.70%
Last 6 Months Return
$4,175.47
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$4,205.00
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
4.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.8
30-Day Momentum
3
-3.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$4,205.00
Current Value
$4,175.47
Period P&L
$-29.53
Max Drawdown
-63.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
53
Winners / Losers
21 /
32
Best Trade
+9.29%
Worst Trade
-4.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
23.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$462,186.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-29.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-29.53
Gross Return
-0.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.70%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 53 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,205.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $14.17 | 296 | $4,194.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.98 | 296 | $4,434.08 | $4,444.76 |
+$239.76 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $14.59 | 304 | $4,435.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET | $14.15 | 304 | $4,300.08 | $4,309.48 |
$-135.28 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:50am ET | $12.91 | 333 | $4,299.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $12.47 | 333 | $4,150.85 | $4,161.30 |
$-148.18 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $11.57 | 359 | $4,153.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $12.31 | 359 | $4,419.29 | $4,427.07 |
+$265.77 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.94 | 370 | $4,417.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $12.56 | 370 | $4,649.05 | $4,658.32 |
+$231.25 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $15.78 | 295 | $4,656.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $16.73 | 295 | $4,935.35 | $4,937.09 |
+$278.77 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $16.32 | 302 | $4,927.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $17.18 | 302 | $5,188.33 | $5,198.29 |
+$261.20 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $17.58 | 295 | $5,186.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:25am ET | $16.94 | 295 | $4,998.77 | $5,010.96 |
$-187.33 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $17.78 | 281 | $4,996.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $18.67 | 281 | $5,246.24 | $5,261.02 |
+$250.06 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $18.30 | 287 | $5,252.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.40 | 287 | $4,993.80 | $5,002.72 |
$-258.30 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET | $16.14 | 309 | $4,987.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $15.64 | 309 | $4,832.76 | $4,847.73 |
$-154.99 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:55am ET | $18.83 | 257 | $4,839.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $18.21 | 257 | $4,679.97 | $4,688.39 |
$-159.34 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $22.43 | 208 | $4,666.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:05pm ET | $23.66 | 208 | $4,920.26 | $4,942.17 |
+$253.78 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $23.38 | 211 | $4,932.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $24.67 | 211 | $5,204.32 | $5,214.36 |
+$272.19 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $24.93 | 209 | $5,210.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $23.91 | 209 | $4,996.15 | $5,000.14 |
$-214.22 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.98 | 208 | $4,986.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $23.23 | 208 | $4,831.84 | $4,845.18 |
$-154.96 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $23.05 | 210 | $4,841.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:45am ET | $22.29 | 210 | $4,680.90 | $4,684.99 |
$-160.19 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.37 | 171 | $4,680.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.22 | 171 | $4,482.77 | $4,487.48 |
$-197.51 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $27.63 | 162 | $4,476.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.63 | 162 | $4,313.25 | $4,324.67 |
$-162.81 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.41 | 163 | $4,304.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $25.54 | 163 | $4,163.02 | $4,182.86 |
$-141.81 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $24.43 | 171 | $4,177.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 11:20am ET | $25.75 | 171 | $4,402.40 | $4,407.71 |
+$224.85 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $25.73 | 171 | $4,399.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $24.72 | 171 | $4,227.12 | $4,235.00 |
$-172.71 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $24.39 | 173 | $4,218.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $25.65 | 173 | $4,437.45 | $4,453.84 |
+$218.84 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.17 | 163 | $4,428.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:45pm ET | $28.71 | 163 | $4,679.73 | $4,704.86 |
+$251.02 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 10:20am ET | $29.36 | 160 | $4,697.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $28.26 | 160 | $4,522.40 | $4,529.68 |
$-175.18 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 11:20am ET | $28.28 | 160 | $4,524.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $27.25 | 160 | $4,359.20 | $4,364.08 |
$-165.60 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 10:20am ET | $26.01 | 167 | $4,343.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $27.32 | 167 | $4,561.61 | $4,582.02 |
+$217.94 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $27.57 | 166 | $4,576.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.69 | 166 | $4,430.54 | $4,435.94 |
$-146.08 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.80 | 165 | $4,421.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.58 | 165 | $4,220.70 | $4,235.46 |
$-200.48 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.65 | 179 | $4,233.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $22.69 | 179 | $4,061.51 | $4,063.64 |
$-171.82 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.08 | 184 | $4,062.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $21.31 | 184 | $3,921.04 | $3,921.96 |
$-141.68 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $20.95 | 187 | $3,917.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.00 | 187 | $4,114.00 | $4,118.31 |
+$196.35 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $20.90 | 197 | $4,116.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $20.16 | 197 | $3,971.52 | $3,973.51 |
$-144.80 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $19.88 | 199 | $3,956.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.28 | 199 | $3,836.72 | $3,854.11 |
$-119.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.94 | 214 | $3,839.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $18.94 | 214 | $4,053.16 | $4,068.11 |
+$214.00 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $24.28 | 167 | $4,054.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.27 | 167 | $3,885.59 | $3,898.94 |
$-169.17 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $22.13 | 176 | $3,894.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $21.43 | 176 | $3,771.68 | $3,775.74 |
$-123.20 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $20.62 | 183 | $3,773.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $19.92 | 183 | $3,645.38 | $3,647.66 |
$-128.08 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $21.72 | 167 | $3,626.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.04 | 167 | $3,847.68 | $3,868.94 |
+$221.28 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.63 | 197 | $3,867.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:00am ET | $20.75 | 197 | $4,087.75 | $4,089.58 |
+$220.64 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 2:50pm ET | $21.58 | 189 | $4,079.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $22.87 | 189 | $4,322.43 | $4,332.45 |
+$242.87 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $21.21 | 204 | $4,327.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $22.29 | 204 | $4,547.16 | $4,551.87 |
+$219.42 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $20.86 | 218 | $4,547.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $20.02 | 218 | $4,364.36 | $4,368.75 |
$-183.12 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $21.00 | 208 | $4,368.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 10:35am ET | $20.32 | 208 | $4,226.56 | $4,227.31 |
$-141.44 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $20.32 | 208 | $4,225.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 12:55pm ET | $19.65 | 208 | $4,087.20 | $4,088.99 |
$-138.32 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $19.40 | 210 | $4,074.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.74 | 210 | $3,935.40 | $3,950.39 |
$-138.60 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:45am ET | $20.08 | 196 | $3,934.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.94 | 196 | $4,300.26 | $4,315.95 |
+$365.56 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $20.77 | 207 | $4,299.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $19.99 | 207 | $4,137.93 | $4,154.49 |
$-161.46 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $18.33 | 226 | $4,142.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $17.78 | 226 | $4,018.28 | $4,030.19 |
$-124.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.17 | 190 | $4,022.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $20.27 | 190 | $3,851.30 | $3,859.19 |
$-171.00 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $20.37 | 189 | $3,849.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $19.75 | 189 | $3,732.75 | $3,742.01 |
$-117.18 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $20.26 | 184 | $3,727.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.32 | 184 | $3,922.88 | $3,937.05 |
+$195.04 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.85 | 165 | $3,935.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.30 | 165 | $4,173.68 | $4,175.47 |
+$238.42 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,175.47
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,824.53
Total Return:
-58.25%