SHIBUSD Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 48 trades in period
-35.85%
Last 6 Months Return
$2,984.73
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$4,334.75
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
5.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,289
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
182 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$4,334.75
Current Value
$2,984.73
Period P&L
$-1,554.15
Max Drawdown
-94.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
16 /
32
Best Trade
+7.28%
Worst Trade
-5.51%
Avg Trade Return
-0.34%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$289,656.88
Estimated Fees
$724.14
Gross P&L
$-1,554.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,278.29
Gross Return
-35.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-52.56%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 182 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,334.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:10am ET | $0.00000959 | 452,006,895 | $4,334.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 1:20pm ET | $0.00000929 | 452,006,895 | $4,199.14 | $4,177.81 |
$-156.94 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 1:30pm ET | $0.00000921 | 453,616,648 | $4,177.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 11:35pm ET | $0.00000893 | 453,616,648 | $4,050.80 | $4,030.23 |
$-147.58 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 6:05pm ET | $0.00000883 | 456,424,140 | $4,030.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:35pm ET | $0.00000856 | 456,424,140 | $3,906.99 | $3,887.15 |
$-143.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:30am ET | $0.00000847 | 458,931,239 | $3,887.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:20pm ET | $0.00000821 | 458,931,239 | $3,767.83 | $3,748.69 |
$-138.46 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 2:30am ET | $0.00000776 | 483,078,356 | $3,748.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:15pm ET | $0.00000816 | 483,078,356 | $3,941.92 | $3,922.69 |
+$174.00 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 30, 2025 7:05pm ET | $0.00000818 | 479,546,805 | $3,922.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 7:45am ET | $0.00000790 | 479,546,805 | $3,788.42 | $3,769.14 |
$-153.55 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:15pm ET | $0.00000917 | 411,029,660 | $3,769.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 11:00pm ET | $0.00000888 | 411,029,660 | $3,649.94 | $3,631.40 |
$-137.75 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 5:10pm ET | $0.00000855 | 424,724,639 | $3,631.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 10:00pm ET | $0.00000829 | 424,724,639 | $3,520.97 | $3,503.09 |
$-128.31 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $0.00000818 | 428,250,165 | $3,503.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 10:20am ET | $0.00000790 | 428,250,165 | $3,383.18 | $3,365.96 |
$-137.13 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:25am ET | $0.00000792 | 424,995,031 | $3,365.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 11:10am ET | $0.00000767 | 424,995,031 | $3,259.71 | $3,243.15 |
$-122.81 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:15am ET | $0.00000764 | 424,495,773 | $3,243.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 7:25am ET | $0.00000740 | 424,495,773 | $3,141.27 | $3,125.31 |
$-117.84 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $0.00000722 | 432,868,100 | $3,125.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 6:35pm ET | $0.00000700 | 432,868,100 | $3,030.08 | $3,014.69 |
$-110.62 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:55pm ET | $0.00000802 | 375,896,289 | $3,014.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 4, 2026 1:20am ET | $0.00000850 | 375,896,289 | $3,195.12 | $3,179.59 |
+$164.91 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 4, 2026 1:40pm ET | $0.00000908 | 350,175,544 | $3,179.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 4, 2026 11:20pm ET | $0.00000879 | 350,175,544 | $3,078.04 | $3,062.40 |
$-117.20 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $0.00000963 | 318,006,121 | $3,062.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 2:25pm ET | $0.00000934 | 318,006,121 | $2,970.18 | $2,955.10 |
$-107.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:45pm ET | $0.00000913 | 323,668,754 | $2,955.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:45pm ET | $0.00000961 | 323,668,754 | $3,110.46 | $3,095.29 |
+$140.20 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $0.00000920 | 336,444,875 | $3,095.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $0.00000892 | 336,444,875 | $3,001.09 | $2,985.85 |
$-109.45 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $0.00000898 | 332,499,703 | $2,985.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:05pm ET | $0.00000871 | 332,499,703 | $2,896.07 | $2,881.37 |
$-104.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $0.00000835 | 345,073,965 | $2,881.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET | $0.00000789 | 345,073,965 | $2,722.63 | $2,708.62 |
$-172.74 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET | $0.00000790 | 342,863,745 | $2,708.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 5:30pm ET | $0.00000765 | 342,863,745 | $2,622.91 | $2,609.58 |
$-99.04 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $0.00000772 | 338,028,344 | $2,609.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 4:15pm ET | $0.00000814 | 338,028,344 | $2,751.55 | $2,738.15 |
+$128.57 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $0.00000727 | 376,636,575 | $2,738.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 2:35am ET | $0.00000704 | 376,636,575 | $2,651.52 | $2,638.05 |
$-100.10 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET | $0.00000679 | 388,519,487 | $2,638.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $0.00000657 | 388,519,487 | $2,552.57 | $2,539.60 |
$-98.45 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:15pm ET | $0.00000659 | 385,371,241 | $2,539.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $0.00000692 | 385,371,241 | $2,666.77 | $2,653.75 |
+$114.16 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:45am ET | $0.00000679 | 390,832,558 | $2,653.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $0.00000657 | 390,832,558 | $2,567.77 | $2,554.72 |
$-99.04 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $0.00000654 | 390,629,373 | $2,554.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $0.00000690 | 390,629,373 | $2,695.34 | $2,682.22 |
+$127.50 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 5:15pm ET | $0.00000674 | 397,955,123 | $2,682.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $0.00000651 | 397,955,123 | $2,590.69 | $2,577.51 |
$-104.71 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:20am ET | $0.00000620 | 415,726,708 | $2,577.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $0.00000598 | 415,726,708 | $2,486.05 | $2,473.39 |
$-104.12 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $0.00000592 | 417,801,830 | $2,473.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $0.00000573 | 417,801,830 | $2,394.00 | $2,381.84 |
$-91.55 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $0.00000566 | 420,819,083 | $2,381.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $0.00000549 | 420,819,083 | $2,310.30 | $2,298.57 |
$-83.27 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $0.00000522 | 440,338,397 | $2,298.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $0.00000560 | 440,338,397 | $2,465.90 | $2,453.98 |
+$155.42 (+7.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:40pm ET | $0.00000559 | 438,995,325 | $2,453.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:10am ET | $0.00000589 | 438,995,325 | $2,585.68 | $2,573.08 |
+$119.10 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET | $0.00000581 | 442,871,480 | $2,573.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $0.00000613 | 442,871,480 | $2,714.80 | $2,701.58 |
+$128.50 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 2:10am ET | $0.00000608 | 444,339,220 | $2,701.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 1:30pm ET | $0.00000639 | 444,339,220 | $2,839.33 | $2,825.48 |
+$123.89 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $0.00000631 | 447,778,130 | $2,825.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 22, 2026 8:00pm ET | $0.00000612 | 447,778,130 | $2,740.40 | $2,740.40 |
$-98.99 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET | $0.00000597 | 459,028,476 | $2,740.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $0.00000629 | 459,028,476 | $2,887.29 | $2,887.29 |
+$132.82 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 6:20pm ET | $0.00000630 | 458,300,000 | $2,887.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 4:05am ET | $0.00000611 | 458,300,000 | $2,800.21 | $2,800.21 |
$-101.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET | $0.00000560 | 500,037,500 | $2,800.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 9:05pm ET | $0.00000593 | 500,037,500 | $2,965.22 | $2,965.22 |
+$150.60 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $0.00000545 | 544,077,064 | $2,965.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2026 9:50pm ET | $0.00000528 | 544,077,064 | $2,872.73 | $2,872.73 |
$-107.09 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $0.00000570 | 503,987,175 | $2,872.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $0.00000599 | 503,987,175 | $3,018.88 | $3,018.88 |
+$131.43 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:05pm ET | $0.00000587 | 514,290,150 | $3,018.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $0.00000567 | 514,290,150 | $2,916.03 | $2,916.03 |
$-117.70 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $0.00000569 | 512,482,452 | $2,916.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 7:35am ET | $0.00000599 | 512,482,452 | $3,069.77 | $3,069.77 |
+$138.78 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $0.00000604 | 508,240,047 | $3,069.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 14, 2026 6:30am ET | $0.00000584 | 508,240,047 | $2,968.12 | $2,968.12 |
$-116.74 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 4:55am ET | $0.00000621 | 477,958,434 | $2,968.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 8:40am ET | $0.00000602 | 477,958,434 | $2,877.31 | $2,877.31 |
$-105.43 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 8:30am ET | $0.00000584 | 492,690,030 | $2,877.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $0.00000566 | 492,690,030 | $2,788.63 | $2,788.63 |
$-102.85 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET | $0.00000582 | 479,145,287 | $2,788.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $0.00000612 | 479,145,287 | $2,932.37 | $2,932.37 |
+$129.44 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:15pm ET | $0.00000585 | 501,259,829 | $2,932.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 7:00pm ET | $0.00000615 | 501,259,829 | $3,082.75 | $3,082.75 |
+$135.34 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 8:15am ET | $0.00000629 | 490,103,339 | $3,082.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:40am ET | $0.00000609 | 490,103,339 | $2,984.73 | $2,984.73 |
$-113.19 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$2,984.73
Net Profit/Loss:
$-7,015.27
Total Return:
-70.15%