Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:32:43

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.0/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 44.7/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 38.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,848
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,945.34
Current Value
$16,423.73
Period P&L
$478.37
Max Drawdown
-14.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
10 / 15
Best Trade
+9.72%
Worst Trade
-9.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$873,779.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$478.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$478.37
Gross Return
+3.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $15,945.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $102.27 155 $15,851.85
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $98.82 155 $15,317.10 $15,410.60 $-534.75
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:40pm ET $100.61 153 $15,392.57
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $105.85 153 $16,195.05 $16,213.08 +$802.48
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $91.28 177 $16,156.56
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET $88.54 177 $15,670.70 $15,727.22 $-485.87
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET $72.00 218 $15,696.02
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:45am ET $69.46 218 $15,142.28 $15,173.47 $-553.74
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $77.72 195 $15,156.37
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $75.31 195 $14,685.45 $14,702.55 $-470.93
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $67.38 218 $14,688.86
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $73.40 218 $16,002.29 $16,015.98 +$1,313.43
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $67.22 238 $15,998.36
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET $70.64 238 $16,812.18 $16,829.80 +$813.82
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $78.29 214 $16,754.06
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $83.13 214 $17,789.82 $17,865.56 +$1,035.76
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $81.32 219 $17,809.08
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $78.86 219 $17,270.34 $17,326.82 $-538.74
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $77.66 223 $17,318.18
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET $74.69 223 $16,655.87 $16,664.51 $-662.31
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $71.13 234 $16,644.42
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $68.97 234 $16,138.98 $16,159.07 $-505.44
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $63.44 254 $16,113.73
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $61.52 254 $15,626.08 $15,671.42 $-487.65
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $61.37 255 $15,648.08
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $66.14 255 $16,865.70 $16,889.04 +$1,217.62
(+7.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $62.04 272 $16,875.15
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.91 272 $17,927.52 $17,941.41 +$1,052.37
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $63.62 281 $17,878.06
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $69.81 281 $19,616.61 $19,679.96 +$1,738.55
(+9.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $67.04 293 $19,644.18
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $70.61 293 $20,688.73 $20,724.51 +$1,044.55
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET $69.79 296 $20,659.32
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $67.69 296 $20,036.36 $20,101.55 $-622.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $65.68 306 $20,098.08
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $69.00 306 $21,112.47 $21,115.94 +$1,014.39
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
19 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $77.08 273 $21,042.84
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $69.71 273 $19,031.92 $19,105.02 $-2,010.92
(-9.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
20 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $66.54 287 $19,096.98
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $68.59 287 $19,685.33 $19,693.37 +$588.35
(+3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $64.10 307 $19,678.70
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:20am ET $62.17 307 $19,086.19 $19,100.86 $-592.51
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:35am ET $60.14 317 $19,064.38
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $58.31 317 $18,484.27 $18,520.75 $-580.11
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $62.30 297 $18,503.10
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:05am ET $60.37 297 $17,929.89 $17,947.54 $-573.21
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $56.09 319 $17,892.71
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $53.12 319 $16,945.28 $17,000.11 $-947.43
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $52.76 322 $16,988.72
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $50.97 322 $16,412.34 $16,423.73 $-576.38
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,423.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,423.73
Total Return: +64.24%
Back to Danny Dip