Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:30:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 2.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,036.12
Current Value
$7,523.47
Period P&L
$1,487.34
Max Drawdown
-40.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
13 / 14
Best Trade
+9.28%
Worst Trade
-5.58%
Avg Trade Return
+0.92%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$376,448.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,487.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,487.34
Gross Return
+24.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $6,036.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $156.65 38 $5,952.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $151.90 38 $5,772.20 $5,855.44 $-180.69
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $145.86 40 $5,834.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $153.47 40 $6,138.80 $6,159.84 +$304.40
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $149.01 41 $6,109.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $156.80 41 $6,428.80 $6,479.23 +$319.39
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $145.38 44 $6,396.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $140.59 44 $6,185.96 $6,268.47 $-210.76
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $123.52 50 $6,176.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $119.72 50 $5,986.01 $6,078.48 $-189.99
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:05am ET $134.47 45 $6,051.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $141.29 45 $6,357.83 $6,385.16 +$306.68
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET $144.89 44 $6,375.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $153.13 44 $6,737.94 $6,747.94 +$362.78
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $146.93 45 $6,611.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $142.52 45 $6,413.40 $6,549.49 $-198.45
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $137.30 47 $6,453.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $144.53 47 $6,792.92 $6,889.31 +$339.82
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:55am ET $140.57 49 $6,888.17 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $153.63 49 $7,527.63 $7,528.76 +$639.45
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $148.27 50 $7,413.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 10:15am ET $156.09 50 $7,804.50 $7,919.76 +$391.00
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
12 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:50am ET $170.49 46 $7,842.77 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:45am ET $165.26 46 $7,601.73 $7,678.72 $-241.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $266.74 28 $7,468.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $258.14 28 $7,227.78 $7,437.64 $-241.08
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $247.76 30 $7,432.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:55am ET $240.04 30 $7,201.20 $7,206.04 $-231.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $236.02 30 $7,080.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:10am ET $248.07 30 $7,441.95 $7,567.39 +$361.35
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET $236.08 32 $7,554.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:35am ET $222.92 32 $7,133.44 $7,146.19 $-421.20
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:30am ET $231.84 30 $6,955.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $223.29 30 $6,698.55 $6,889.54 $-256.65
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $219.66 31 $6,809.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $230.97 31 $7,160.07 $7,240.15 +$350.61
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $257.68 28 $7,215.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $270.82 28 $7,583.03 $7,608.00 +$367.85
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET $269.74 28 $7,552.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:50am ET $261.41 28 $7,319.48 $7,374.76 $-233.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET $264.56 27 $7,143.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:00am ET $255.64 27 $6,902.28 $7,133.92 $-240.84
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $283.95 25 $7,098.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $298.78 25 $7,469.50 $7,504.55 +$370.63
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $305.87 24 $7,340.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:50am ET $321.23 24 $7,709.52 $7,873.19 +$368.64
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:20am ET $328.00 24 $7,872.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET $317.96 24 $7,631.04 $7,632.23 $-240.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:55am ET $322.12 23 $7,408.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $310.54 23 $7,142.42 $7,365.89 $-266.34
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET $366.05 20 $7,321.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $353.89 20 $7,077.80 $7,122.69 $-243.20
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:55am ET $323.69 22 $7,121.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $341.91 22 $7,521.97 $7,523.47 +$400.78
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,523.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,476.53
Total Return: -24.77%
Back to Danny Dip