Compendium › Danny Dip › SOLUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOLUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 24 trades in period

+21.32%
Last 6 Months Return
$1,405.02
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$984.90
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:11:58

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.4/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

29
+7.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 47.1 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,043
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$984.90
Current Value
$1,405.02
Period P&L
$209.97
Max Drawdown
-92.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
13 / 11
Best Trade
+5.66%
Worst Trade
-3.66%
Avg Trade Return
+1.31%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$58,439.23
Estimated Fees
$146.10
Gross P&L
$209.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$63.87
Gross Return
+21.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.49%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $984.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET $79.29 13 $1,048.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 29, 2026 10:50pm ET $83.74 13 $1,107.84 $1,107.84 +$53.48
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 6:00am ET $80.44 14 $1,107.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:45am ET $84.65 14 $1,165.82 $1,165.82 +$52.30
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $83.91 14 $1,165.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 6:15pm ET $81.31 14 $1,129.70 $1,129.70 $-41.86
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:45pm ET $79.03 14 $1,129.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 6:05pm ET $83.02 14 $1,186.74 $1,186.74 +$51.24
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2026 9:50pm ET $82.13 14 $1,186.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 6:55pm ET $86.29 14 $1,246.85 $1,246.85 +$54.03
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 4:50pm ET $93.47 13 $1,246.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $98.15 13 $1,309.28 $1,309.28 +$56.04
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $76.18 17 $1,309.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 6:55pm ET $73.73 17 $1,267.17 $1,267.17 $-48.55
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 7:00pm ET $73.59 17 $1,267.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 4:55pm ET $71.26 17 $1,227.05 $1,227.05 $-46.36
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:25pm ET $69.09 18 $1,227.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $66.82 18 $1,186.73 $1,186.73 $-46.35
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $67.71 18 $1,186.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:35pm ET $71.40 18 $1,251.40 $1,251.40 +$58.58
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 4:15am ET $68.45 18 $1,251.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:55am ET $66.23 18 $1,210.81 $1,210.81 $-46.74
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:05am ET $65.81 18 $1,210.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $63.73 18 $1,172.54 $1,172.54 $-44.23
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $62.77 19 $1,172.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:35am ET $60.53 19 $1,130.70 $1,130.70 $-47.60
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:40am ET $60.54 19 $1,130.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 9:30pm ET $63.73 19 $1,190.28 $1,190.28 +$53.78
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $71.99 17 $1,190.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:30am ET $69.80 17 $1,154.07 $1,154.07 $-42.07
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET $68.95 17 $1,154.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2026 6:05pm ET $72.41 17 $1,211.98 $1,211.98 +$52.00
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 4:25am ET $68.30 18 $1,211.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $65.80 18 $1,167.62 $1,167.62 $-50.31
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $65.22 18 $1,167.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:05am ET $68.64 18 $1,228.85 $1,228.85 +$55.24
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $65.77 19 $1,228.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:25am ET $69.13 19 $1,291.63 $1,291.63 +$56.48
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:00am ET $99.08 13 $1,291.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $95.50 13 $1,244.96 $1,244.96 $-53.01
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:15am ET $93.42 13 $1,244.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 6:35pm ET $98.17 13 $1,308.26 $1,308.26 +$56.92
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $104.34 13 $1,308.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 30, 2026 7:50pm ET $100.92 13 $1,265.38 $1,265.38 $-49.32
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:15am ET $101.12 13 $1,265.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2026 11:40pm ET $106.84 13 $1,336.96 $1,336.96 +$65.07
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $95.86 14 $1,336.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 8:15am ET $100.74 14 $1,405.02 $1,405.02 +$61.21
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $1,405.02
Net Profit/Loss: $-8,594.98
Total Return: -85.95%
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