Compendium › Danny Dip › SPXU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPXU
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 14 trades in period

-12.28%
Last 6 Months Return
$7,657.16
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$8,729.40
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:01:22

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,729.40
Current Value
$7,657.16
Period P&L
$-1,072.26
Max Drawdown
-27.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+5.27%
Worst Trade
-10.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.94%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$220,209.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,072.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,072.26
Gross Return
-12.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,729.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $55.55 159 $8,832.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $58.36 159 $9,279.24 $9,320.90 +$446.79
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $59.95 155 $9,292.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $57.79 155 $8,957.45 $8,986.10 $-334.80
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $56.15 160 $8,984.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.19 160 $8,030.56 $8,032.50 $-953.60
(-10.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $47.43 169 $8,015.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET $46.00 169 $7,774.00 $7,790.83 $-241.67
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $43.92 177 $7,773.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.58 177 $7,535.78 $7,552.77 $-238.06
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
6 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $40.05 188 $7,529.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:50am ET $38.80 188 $7,294.40 $7,317.77 $-235.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET $37.77 193 $7,289.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $39.76 193 $7,673.68 $7,701.84 +$384.07
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $39.60 194 $7,682.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:00am ET $38.31 194 $7,432.14 $7,451.58 $-250.26
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:00am ET $36.52 204 $7,450.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $38.39 204 $7,831.56 $7,833.06 +$381.48
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:50am ET $38.18 205 $7,827.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:55pm ET $37.03 205 $7,591.15 $7,597.10 $-235.96
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:15am ET $36.74 206 $7,568.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 10:15am ET $37.47 206 $7,718.86 $7,747.52 +$150.42
(+2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $38.78 199 $7,717.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $37.58 199 $7,478.42 $7,508.72 $-238.80
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:15am ET $36.23 207 $7,499.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $35.10 207 $7,265.68 $7,274.79 $-233.93
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $34.86 208 $7,251.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $36.70 208 $7,633.60 $7,657.16 +$382.37
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,657.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,342.84
Total Return: -23.43%
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