UVXY Danny Dip's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 36 trades in period
-49.77%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,210.79
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$10,373.42
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 3.9
30-Day Momentum
0
-10.5%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,373.42
Current Value
$5,210.79
Period P&L
$-5,162.62
Max Drawdown
-61.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.37
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
9 /
27
Best Trade
+7.92%
Worst Trade
-15.08%
Avg Trade Return
-1.78%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$551,562.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,162.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,162.62
Gross Return
-49.77%
Net Return (after fees)
-49.77%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,373.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.31 | 210 | $10,355.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.00 | 210 | $10,920.00 | $10,938.31 |
+$564.90 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $57.08 | 191 | $10,902.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $59.98 | 191 | $11,456.18 | $11,492.21 |
+$553.90 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $60.33 | 190 | $11,462.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.16 | 190 | $10,670.40 | $10,699.91 |
$-792.30 (-6.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.08 | 209 | $10,675.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $49.53 | 209 | $10,351.77 | $10,375.96 |
$-323.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $49.83 | 208 | $10,364.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $48.31 | 208 | $10,048.48 | $10,059.80 |
$-316.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $51.17 | 196 | $10,029.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.46 | 196 | $8,517.18 | $8,547.66 |
$-1,512.14 (-15.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $43.91 | 194 | $8,518.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $42.35 | 194 | $8,215.22 | $8,244.34 |
$-303.32 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $41.26 | 199 | $8,210.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $39.94 | 199 | $7,949.05 | $7,982.66 |
$-261.68 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $38.80 | 205 | $7,954.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.44 | 205 | $7,676.22 | $7,704.89 |
$-277.77 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.46 | 200 | $7,692.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $40.39 | 200 | $8,078.00 | $8,090.55 |
+$385.66 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $37.12 | 217 | $8,054.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $35.92 | 217 | $7,794.64 | $7,830.97 |
$-259.58 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $35.53 | 220 | $7,816.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $37.41 | 220 | $8,230.20 | $8,244.57 |
+$413.60 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.09 | 228 | $8,228.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $34.96 | 228 | $7,969.74 | $7,985.79 |
$-258.78 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $34.18 | 233 | $7,963.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $32.97 | 233 | $7,683.17 | $7,705.02 |
$-280.77 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $31.60 | 243 | $7,678.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $30.60 | 243 | $7,435.82 | $7,462.04 |
$-242.98 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $28.50 | 261 | $7,438.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $29.99 | 261 | $7,828.30 | $7,851.84 |
+$389.80 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $29.21 | 268 | $7,828.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $30.84 | 268 | $8,265.12 | $8,288.68 |
+$436.84 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $32.26 | 256 | $8,258.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 11:45am ET | $33.88 | 256 | $8,673.28 | $8,703.30 |
+$414.62 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 1:05pm ET | $29.36 | 296 | $8,690.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.56 | 296 | $7,861.76 | $7,874.50 |
$-828.80 (-9.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.16 | 301 | $7,874.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.15 | 301 | $7,570.15 | $7,570.49 |
$-304.01 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $27.11 | 279 | $7,563.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.18 | 279 | $7,304.22 | $7,311.02 |
$-259.47 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 10:05am ET | $27.55 | 265 | $7,300.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.23 | 265 | $6,950.84 | $6,961.11 |
$-349.91 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $24.50 | 284 | $6,958.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 2:25pm ET | $23.76 | 284 | $6,749.26 | $6,752.37 |
$-208.74 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:40pm ET | $25.08 | 269 | $6,747.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $24.33 | 269 | $6,544.77 | $6,549.28 |
$-203.09 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.68 | 276 | $6,535.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 1:55pm ET | $22.94 | 276 | $6,331.44 | $6,345.04 |
$-204.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $25.14 | 252 | $6,335.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.98 | 252 | $6,042.96 | $6,052.72 |
$-292.32 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.93 | 252 | $6,030.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.83 | 252 | $6,507.90 | $6,530.26 |
+$477.54 (+7.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.25 | 258 | $6,515.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:40am ET | $24.41 | 258 | $6,296.49 | $6,311.58 |
$-218.68 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $24.40 | 258 | $6,293.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.68 | 258 | $6,625.44 | $6,643.11 |
+$331.53 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.16 | 264 | $6,642.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:30pm ET | $24.34 | 264 | $6,425.73 | $6,426.60 |
$-216.51 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.81 | 281 | $6,409.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $22.08 | 281 | $6,204.48 | $6,221.47 |
$-205.13 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $20.73 | 300 | $6,217.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $20.08 | 300 | $6,022.50 | $6,026.47 |
$-195.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET | $19.91 | 302 | $6,012.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $19.24 | 302 | $5,810.48 | $5,824.13 |
$-202.34 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $18.32 | 317 | $5,805.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $17.76 | 317 | $5,629.92 | $5,648.19 |
$-175.94 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $18.29 | 308 | $5,633.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.40 | 308 | $5,359.20 | $5,374.07 |
$-274.12 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $17.08 | 314 | $5,363.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:45pm ET | $16.56 | 314 | $5,199.84 | $5,210.79 |
$-163.28 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$5,210.79
Net Profit/Loss:
$-4,789.21
Total Return:
-47.89%