Compendium › Danny Dip › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 28 trades in period

-5.12%
Last 6 Months Return
$3,112.56
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$2,743.87
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:46

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.4/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

6
-16.2%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
53,047
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$2,743.87
Current Value
$3,112.56
Period P&L
$-140.40
Max Drawdown
-82.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
12 / 16
Best Trade
+6.04%
Worst Trade
-3.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$173,204.17
Estimated Fees
$433.01
Gross P&L
$-140.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-573.41
Gross Return
-5.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.90%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $2,743.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 4:50pm ET $1.44 1,957 $2,819.98 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $1.52 1,957 $2,965.58 $2,965.58 +$131.14
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 4:40pm ET $1.50 1,977 $2,965.58 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1.45 1,977 $2,873.71 $2,873.71 $-106.47
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30pm ET $1.17 2,458 $2,873.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:40am ET $1.13 2,458 $2,787.22 $2,787.22 $-100.64
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $1.10 2,523 $2,787.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $1.07 2,523 $2,702.35 $2,702.35 $-98.60
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:20am ET $1.07 2,531 $2,702.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 10:50pm ET $1.12 2,531 $2,837.90 $2,837.90 +$121.70
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $1.18 2,406 $2,837.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:40am ET $1.14 2,406 $2,750.98 $2,750.98 $-100.89
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $1.04 2,642 $2,750.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 8:35am ET $1.09 2,642 $2,889.33 $2,889.33 +$124.25
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 7:05pm ET $1.10 2,635 $2,889.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 4:55am ET $1.15 2,635 $3,042.94 $3,042.94 +$138.78
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $1.29 2,363 $3,042.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $1.25 2,363 $2,950.73 $2,950.73 $-107.20
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $1.25 2,365 $2,950.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:40pm ET $1.31 2,365 $3,105.87 $3,105.87 +$140.00
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9h held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 6:25am ET $1.37 2,263 $3,105.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 6:45pm ET $1.45 2,263 $3,275.20 $3,275.20 +$153.38
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $1.55 2,119 $3,275.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:20am ET $1.49 2,119 $3,154.95 $3,154.95 $-136.32
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:25am ET $1.49 2,113 $3,154.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 2:40am ET $1.58 2,113 $3,345.48 $3,345.48 +$174.28
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 4:00am ET $1.56 2,140 $3,345.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 4:30am ET $1.51 2,140 $3,238.24 $3,238.24 $-123.70
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 4:35am ET $1.50 2,160 $3,238.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 6:20am ET $1.45 2,160 $3,138.37 $3,138.37 $-115.81
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 6:25am ET $1.43 2,195 $3,138.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 6:45am ET $1.50 2,195 $3,295.29 $3,295.29 +$140.83
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 10:50am ET $1.44 2,281 $3,295.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 23, 2026 9:20am ET $1.52 2,281 $3,462.25 $3,462.25 +$150.07
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 23, 2026 10:45am ET $1.50 2,306 $3,462.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 4:30am ET $1.46 2,306 $3,356.10 $3,356.10 $-123.19
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $1.46 2,291 $3,356.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 10:30pm ET $1.54 2,291 $3,526.04 $3,526.04 +$152.74
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 5:10pm ET $1.42 2,485 $3,526.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:45am ET $1.38 2,485 $3,418.58 $3,418.58 $-124.82
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $1.38 2,469 $3,418.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $1.34 2,469 $3,309.61 $3,309.61 $-125.79
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 8:35am ET $1.41 2,351 $3,309.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 8:50am ET $1.36 2,351 $3,199.74 $3,199.74 $-126.15
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 5:40pm ET $1.44 2,216 $3,199.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:20am ET $1.40 2,216 $3,103.44 $3,103.44 $-112.05
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:35am ET $1.40 2,222 $3,103.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $1.35 2,222 $3,000.31 $3,000.31 $-118.39
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $1.32 2,268 $3,000.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 4:20pm ET $1.28 2,268 $2,901.26 $2,901.26 $-113.80
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 4:25pm ET $1.28 2,272 $2,901.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $1.34 2,272 $3,048.03 $3,048.03 +$131.90
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $1.51 2,014 $3,048.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 5:20am ET $1.47 2,014 $2,956.31 $2,956.31 $-106.73
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 5:35am ET $1.46 2,029 $2,956.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $1.53 2,029 $3,112.56 $3,112.56 +$141.08
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,112.56
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,887.44
Total Return: -68.87%
Back to Danny Dip