Compendium › Danny Dip › DIS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIS
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 18 trades executed

+16.94%
2 Years Return
$10,235.82
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$8,753.20
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:19:23

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 60%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
4.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.60 = 5.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (60%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
53,598
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$8,753.20
Current Value
$10,235.82
Total P&L
$1,482.61
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
7 / 7
Best Trade
+13.24%
Worst Trade
-3.10%
Avg Trade Return
+1.24%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$251,567.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,482.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,482.61
Gross Return
+16.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,753.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 11:20am ET $109.97 79 $8,687.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 11:35am ET $115.47 79 $9,122.13 $9,187.71 +$434.50
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 9:35am ET $112.18 81 $9,086.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2025 12:10pm ET $108.79 81 $8,811.59 $8,912.71 $-275.00
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:40am ET $110.06 80 $8,805.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 12:25pm ET $106.76 80 $8,540.80 $8,648.39 $-264.32
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET $100.10 86 $8,608.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 10:00am ET $97.09 86 $8,349.74 $8,389.96 $-258.43
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $93.24 89 $8,298.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 1:55pm ET $90.39 89 $8,044.27 $8,135.73 $-254.23
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $81.28 100 $8,128.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $85.44 100 $8,543.50 $8,551.23 +$415.50
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
42m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $88.03 97 $8,539.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 11:30am ET $85.30 97 $8,274.10 $8,286.33 $-264.91
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:55am ET $88.73 93 $8,251.89 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 9:30am ET $100.48 93 $9,344.64 $9,379.08 +$1,092.75
(+13.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET $113.59 82 $9,314.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:30am ET $117.19 82 $9,609.30 $9,673.97 +$294.90
(+3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $106.79 90 $9,610.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET $103.51 90 $9,315.90 $9,379.22 $-294.75
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $105.05 89 $9,349.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $106.80 89 $9,505.20 $9,534.97 +$155.75
(+1.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
7.3d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $103.07 92 $9,482.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $99.90 92 $9,191.26 $9,244.02 $-290.95
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET $92.86 99 $9,193.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $97.93 99 $9,694.58 $9,745.46 +$501.44
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:45am ET $95.92 101 $9,687.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $100.78 101 $10,178.28 $10,235.82 +$490.36
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,235.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$235.82
Total Return: +2.36%
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