PYPL Danny Dip's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 51 trades executed
+1.77%
2 Years Return
$7,980.16
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$7,841.14
Period Start
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
5.8/100
× Confidence 0.84
= 4.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
63,213
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
523 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$7,841.14
Current Value
$7,980.16
Total P&L
$139.02
Max Drawdown
-32.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
40
Winners / Losers
19 /
21
Best Trade
+6.06%
Worst Trade
-8.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
5.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$591,536.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$139.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$139.02
Gross Return
+1.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.77%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 523 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,841.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2024 9:35am ET | $78.91 | 99 | $7,812.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2024 9:35am ET | $81.70 | 99 | $8,088.30 | $8,117.35 |
+$276.21 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2024 9:30am ET | $78.82 | 102 | $8,039.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 8, 2024 10:30am ET | $83.05 | 102 | $8,471.10 | $8,548.81 |
+$431.46 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 9:50am ET | $87.87 | 97 | $8,523.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 11:00am ET | $85.00 | 97 | $8,245.00 | $8,270.42 |
$-278.39 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 10, 2025 9:45am ET | $85.10 | 97 | $8,254.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 12:00pm ET | $82.44 | 97 | $7,996.68 | $8,012.40 |
$-258.01 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2025 9:40am ET | $87.19 | 91 | $7,934.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $81.94 | 91 | $7,456.54 | $7,534.65 |
$-477.75 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 9:50am ET | $73.94 | 101 | $7,467.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 9:50am ET | $71.59 | 101 | $7,230.59 | $7,297.30 |
$-237.35 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $68.05 | 107 | $7,281.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2025 10:30am ET | $68.83 | 107 | $7,364.81 | $7,380.94 |
+$83.63 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $67.03 | 110 | $7,373.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 3:30pm ET | $64.97 | 110 | $7,146.15 | $7,153.79 |
$-227.15 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $63.72 | 112 | $7,136.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:10am ET | $61.73 | 112 | $6,913.76 | $6,930.91 |
$-222.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
42m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 10:10am ET | $58.95 | 117 | $6,897.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $57.16 | 117 | $6,687.72 | $6,721.48 |
$-209.43 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 3:35pm ET | $56.75 | 118 | $6,696.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $60.19 | 118 | $7,102.42 | $7,127.27 |
+$405.79 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2025 9:50am ET | $60.45 | 117 | $7,072.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $63.83 | 117 | $7,468.58 | $7,523.19 |
+$395.93 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $64.45 | 116 | $7,475.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 2, 2025 2:40pm ET | $67.75 | 116 | $7,859.02 | $7,906.54 |
+$383.35 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $71.60 | 110 | $7,876.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $67.93 | 110 | $7,471.75 | $7,502.29 |
$-404.25 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2025 2:25pm ET | $72.19 | 103 | $7,435.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $75.98 | 103 | $7,825.94 | $7,892.73 |
+$390.44 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $72.28 | 109 | $7,877.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 3:15pm ET | $70.11 | 109 | $7,641.45 | $7,656.20 |
$-236.53 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 10:10am ET | $67.27 | 113 | $7,600.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 10:10am ET | $69.11 | 113 | $7,809.43 | $7,864.69 |
+$208.49 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 1:30pm ET | $68.53 | 114 | $7,811.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 12:55pm ET | $66.45 | 114 | $7,574.90 | $7,627.74 |
$-236.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:25am ET | $74.37 | 102 | $7,585.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $71.86 | 102 | $7,329.21 | $7,371.21 |
$-256.53 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $67.03 | 109 | $7,305.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $70.82 | 109 | $7,718.84 | $7,784.08 |
+$412.87 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 3:45pm ET | $73.61 | 105 | $7,729.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $70.99 | 105 | $7,454.34 | $7,509.37 |
$-274.71 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:40am ET | $66.19 | 113 | $7,479.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $63.06 | 113 | $7,125.22 | $7,154.89 |
$-354.48 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $58.71 | 121 | $7,103.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $62.04 | 121 | $7,506.24 | $7,557.82 |
+$402.93 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $60.97 | 123 | $7,498.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $61.22 | 123 | $7,530.06 | $7,589.18 |
+$31.36 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $55.05 | 137 | $7,541.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $53.17 | 137 | $7,284.29 | $7,332.31 |
$-256.88 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.62 | 168 | $7,328.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $42.24 | 168 | $7,095.48 | $7,099.63 |
$-232.68 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $39.76 | 178 | $7,077.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $41.16 | 178 | $7,326.48 | $7,348.83 |
+$249.20 (+3.5%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 10:50am ET | $46.54 | 157 | $7,307.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 12:20pm ET | $45.12 | 157 | $7,083.84 | $7,125.11 |
$-223.72 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.83 | 158 | $7,083.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:25am ET | $47.12 | 158 | $7,444.17 | $7,486.14 |
+$361.03 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $45.55 | 164 | $7,470.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $44.04 | 164 | $7,222.56 | $7,238.50 |
$-247.64 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $49.61 | 145 | $7,193.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.24 | 145 | $6,559.80 | $6,604.85 |
$-633.65 (-8.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $45.94 | 143 | $6,569.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $44.47 | 143 | $6,359.21 | $6,394.64 |
$-210.21 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $43.38 | 147 | $6,377.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.02 | 147 | $6,176.94 | $6,193.99 |
$-200.65 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $41.78 | 148 | $6,182.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 11:10am ET | $43.87 | 148 | $6,492.77 | $6,504.06 |
+$310.07 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $42.79 | 151 | $6,461.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $44.99 | 151 | $6,794.24 | $6,837.01 |
+$332.95 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $44.37 | 154 | $6,832.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.00 | 154 | $7,238.00 | $7,242.03 |
+$405.02 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $55.34 | 130 | $7,194.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $58.36 | 130 | $7,586.80 | $7,634.63 |
+$392.60 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.38 | 133 | $7,630.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.51 | 133 | $7,914.83 | $7,918.58 |
+$283.95 (+3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.16 | 148 | $7,867.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $55.90 | 148 | $8,272.46 | $8,323.36 |
+$404.78 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $53.28 | 156 | $8,310.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.08 | 156 | $7,967.70 | $7,980.16 |
$-343.20 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,980.16
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,019.84
Total Return:
-20.20%