Compendium › Danny Dip › AAPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AAPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

-9.68%
Year to Date Return
$10,356.85
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$11,467.36
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:55:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 61%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
5.5/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 12.4/100
× Confidence 0.61 = 7.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (61%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,926
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,467.36
Current Value
$10,356.85
Period P&L
$-1,110.51
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.48

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.27%
Worst Trade
-8.70%
Avg Trade Return
-2.40%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$90,844.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,110.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,110.51
Gross Return
-9.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $11,467.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $251.32 45 $11,309.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:55am ET $264.57 45 $11,905.43 $12,063.38 +$596.02
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $305.64 39 $11,919.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $296.07 39 $11,546.73 $11,690.31 $-373.07
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $285.55 40 $11,422.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 11:15am ET $276.86 40 $11,074.20 $11,342.51 $-347.80
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $333.13 34 $11,326.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $304.14 34 $10,340.76 $10,356.85 $-985.66
(-8.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,356.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$356.85
Total Return: +3.57%
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