Compendium › Danny Dip › ADBE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ADBE
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 27 trades in period

-17.58%
Year to Date Return
$6,574.87
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$7,976.80
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:15:25

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

14
+2.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.9 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,976.80
Current Value
$6,574.87
Period P&L
$-1,401.94
Max Drawdown
-34.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
9 / 18
Best Trade
+5.80%
Worst Trade
-7.69%
Avg Trade Return
-0.64%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$339,282.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,401.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,401.94
Gross Return
-17.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,976.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:05am ET $339.76 23 $7,814.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $327.89 23 $7,541.47 $7,703.70 $-273.10
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $328.58 23 $7,557.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET $318.44 23 $7,324.01 $7,470.36 $-233.34
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:40am ET $296.08 25 $7,401.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $285.94 25 $7,148.50 $7,216.99 $-253.38
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $282.01 25 $7,050.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $273.40 25 $6,835.00 $7,001.74 $-215.25
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:10am ET $257.11 27 $6,942.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $249.23 27 $6,729.08 $6,788.71 $-213.03
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $273.22 24 $6,557.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $252.22 24 $6,053.28 $6,284.71 $-504.00
(-7.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $247.61 25 $6,190.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $238.88 25 $5,972.00 $6,066.46 $-218.25
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET $235.71 25 $5,892.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $228.58 25 $5,714.50 $5,888.21 $-178.25
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $241.20 24 $5,788.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:15am ET $253.36 24 $6,080.64 $6,180.05 +$291.84
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
10 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $248.59 24 $5,966.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $241.13 24 $5,787.12 $6,001.01 $-179.04
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
11 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:35am ET $256.56 23 $5,900.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $246.71 23 $5,674.33 $5,774.46 $-226.55
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
12 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $243.59 23 $5,602.57 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:50am ET $256.12 23 $5,890.76 $6,062.65 +$288.19
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $264.17 22 $5,811.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $256.16 22 $5,635.52 $5,886.54 $-176.11
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $238.87 24 $5,732.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $227.99 24 $5,471.64 $5,625.42 $-261.12
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $202.40 27 $5,464.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $195.82 27 $5,287.01 $5,447.63 $-177.79
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 11:30am ET $192.70 28 $5,395.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $202.65 28 $5,674.06 $5,726.23 +$278.60
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $214.00 26 $5,564.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:00am ET $225.18 26 $5,854.81 $6,017.04 +$290.81
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $214.09 28 $5,994.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $226.50 28 $6,342.00 $6,364.52 +$347.48
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $221.16 28 $6,192.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $232.69 28 $6,515.32 $6,687.36 +$322.84
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $229.41 29 $6,652.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:30am ET $221.88 29 $6,434.52 $6,468.99 $-218.37
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $251.55 25 $6,288.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:25am ET $243.96 25 $6,099.00 $6,279.24 $-189.75
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:30am ET $252.71 24 $6,065.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET $265.92 24 $6,382.08 $6,596.16 +$316.92
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET $263.34 25 $6,583.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 10:50am ET $255.34 25 $6,383.38 $6,396.14 $-200.02
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $265.52 24 $6,372.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $279.18 24 $6,700.32 $6,723.98 +$327.84
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $266.70 25 $6,667.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $256.90 25 $6,422.50 $6,478.98 $-245.00
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $241.52 26 $6,279.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $253.90 26 $6,601.40 $6,800.81 +$321.83
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $254.30 26 $6,611.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $245.62 26 $6,385.99 $6,574.87 $-225.94
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,574.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,425.13
Total Return: -34.25%
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