Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:31

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
25.3 oversold
20d Trend
-38.3%
5d Trend
-38.9%
EMA20 Dist
-40.8%
ATR%
15.6%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 2.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

42
+11.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.0 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+39 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
76,910
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
268 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$332.28
Current Value
$292.74
Period P&L
$-108.99
Max Drawdown
-97.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
74
Winners / Losers
29 / 45
Best Trade
+7.80%
Worst Trade
-4.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$36,366.04
Estimated Fees
$90.92
Gross P&L
$-108.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-199.91
Gross Return
-32.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-60.16%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVAXUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 268 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 74 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $332.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:50pm ET $14.29 23 $332.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:55am ET $13.78 23 $320.40 $318.77 $-13.49
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET $13.83 23 $318.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:45am ET $13.41 23 $309.09 $307.52 $-11.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:00am ET $13.30 23 $307.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $12.66 23 $292.72 $291.22 $-16.30
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET $12.63 23 $291.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:40am ET $12.19 23 $281.08 $279.65 $-11.58
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $11.92 23 $279.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $12.56 23 $294.66 $293.23 +$13.58
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $11.16 26 $293.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $10.82 26 $284.29 $282.85 $-10.38
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET $10.08 28 $282.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $9.76 28 $273.87 $272.48 $-10.37
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:15pm ET $9.82 28 $272.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:15am ET $9.52 28 $264.15 $262.81 $-9.67
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 6:20am ET $9.21 29 $262.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $8.88 29 $253.40 $252.10 $-10.71
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET $8.94 28 $252.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $8.67 28 $244.49 $243.25 $-8.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $8.52 29 $243.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 4:15pm ET $8.26 29 $235.83 $234.63 $-8.62
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 4:20pm ET $8.44 28 $234.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET $8.10 28 $225.27 $224.12 $-10.51
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $7.79 29 $224.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $8.23 29 $236.96 $235.80 +$11.69
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
24m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:40pm ET $8.20 29 $235.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $8.61 29 $247.65 $246.45 +$10.64
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET $8.34 30 $246.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 8:10am ET $8.76 30 $258.86 $257.59 +$11.15
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $9.12 28 $257.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 5:15am ET $8.82 28 $249.03 $247.77 $-9.82
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $8.51 29 $247.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 12:25am ET $8.21 29 $239.04 $239.04 $-9.95
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:45pm ET $9.42 25 $239.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $9.12 25 $231.43 $231.43 $-8.79
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:40am ET $8.60 27 $231.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $9.11 27 $245.15 $245.15 +$12.53
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 8, 2026 6:00pm ET $8.72 28 $245.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:40am ET $9.18 28 $258.08 $258.08 +$11.67
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $9.65 27 $258.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 8:45am ET $10.15 27 $271.45 $271.45 +$12.05
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:50am ET $9.89 27 $271.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2026 2:35am ET $9.59 27 $263.22 $263.22 $-9.57
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 8:00am ET $9.91 27 $263.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:50am ET $9.60 27 $254.99 $254.99 $-9.53
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 7:55pm ET $9.22 28 $254.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 5:15pm ET $8.93 28 $246.97 $246.97 $-9.28
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $9.37 26 $246.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $9.06 26 $238.80 $238.80 $-9.39
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:35pm ET $8.89 27 $238.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $8.62 27 $231.55 $231.55 $-8.43
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 7:05pm ET $8.98 26 $231.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:55pm ET $8.70 26 $224.33 $224.33 $-8.36
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2026 9:50pm ET $9.04 25 $224.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 6:20pm ET $9.50 25 $235.75 $235.75 +$10.26
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:20am ET $9.30 25 $235.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $9.81 25 $248.68 $248.68 +$11.72
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held
30 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 4:50pm ET $9.99 25 $248.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:25am ET $9.69 25 $241.21 $241.21 $-8.69
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
31 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 10:00am ET $9.46 25 $241.21 — — —
🔴 SELL May 17, 2026 7:45pm ET $9.07 25 $231.27 $231.27 $-11.13
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4d held
32 🟢 BUY May 23, 2026 4:40am ET $8.83 26 $231.27 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $9.29 26 $243.32 $243.32 +$10.86
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9h held
33 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:15am ET $8.77 28 $243.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET $8.42 28 $233.61 $233.61 $-10.90
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4d held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET $8.41 28 $233.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 6:55pm ET $8.11 28 $225.28 $225.28 $-9.48
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 7:00pm ET $8.12 28 $225.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:25pm ET $7.80 28 $216.40 $216.40 $-9.98
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30pm ET $7.83 28 $216.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $7.54 28 $208.39 $208.39 $-9.08
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $7.65 27 $208.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:05am ET $8.05 27 $219.29 $219.29 +$9.83
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held
38 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:00pm ET $7.42 30 $219.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $7.12 30 $210.54 $210.54 $-9.82
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:25am ET $7.07 30 $210.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $6.84 30 $203.60 $203.60 $-7.97
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.7h held
40 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $6.85 30 $203.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $6.60 30 $196.14 $196.14 $-8.46
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
41 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $6.66 29 $196.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 5:50pm ET $7.00 29 $206.21 $206.21 +$9.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
42 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $6.78 30 $206.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25pm ET $6.57 30 $199.88 $199.88 $-7.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
43 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:55pm ET $6.52 31 $199.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:30am ET $6.26 31 $191.97 $191.97 $-8.89
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
44 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:35am ET $6.27 31 $191.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 2:05am ET $6.63 31 $203.05 $203.05 +$10.09
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
45 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 6:35am ET $6.60 31 $203.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 5:10pm ET $6.37 31 $196.07 $196.07 $-7.98
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4d held
46 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $6.75 29 $196.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:15am ET $6.53 29 $189.71 $189.71 $-7.33
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
47 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:20am ET $6.42 30 $189.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:20pm ET $6.15 30 $181.73 $181.73 $-8.91
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12h held
48 🟢 BUY Jun 19, 2026 12:30am ET $6.09 30 $181.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 19, 2026 2:40pm ET $5.82 30 $173.73 $173.73 $-8.89
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.2h held
49 🟢 BUY Jun 19, 2026 2:45pm ET $5.80 30 $173.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2026 3:25am ET $6.09 30 $182.45 $182.45 +$7.83
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.7h held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:30am ET $6.09 30 $182.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 4:10pm ET $6.43 30 $192.73 $192.73 +$9.34
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.7h held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $6.07 32 $192.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 6:05pm ET $6.43 32 $204.00 $204.00 +$10.27
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:50am ET $6.15 33 $204.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $6.46 33 $214.52 $214.52 +$9.48
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
53 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:05pm ET $6.41 33 $214.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 2:50am ET $6.74 33 $225.63 $225.63 +$10.01
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
54 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2026 8:05pm ET $6.50 35 $225.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $6.25 35 $217.16 $217.16 $-9.58
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held
55 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $6.22 35 $217.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2026 10:15am ET $6.55 35 $228.46 $228.46 +$10.19
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
56 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $6.05 38 $228.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2026 12:55am ET $6.52 38 $246.28 $246.28 +$16.64
(+7.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.1h held
57 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 6:05am ET $6.40 38 $246.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:05am ET $6.17 38 $237.28 $237.28 $-10.21
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
58 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET $6.21 38 $237.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:55am ET $6.54 38 $249.54 $249.54 +$11.04
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
59 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2026 8:05pm ET $6.25 40 $249.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:30am ET $6.66 40 $265.80 $265.80 +$14.97
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6d held
60 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 5:10am ET $7.45 36 $265.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 6:10pm ET $7.83 36 $279.29 $279.29 +$12.13
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13h held
61 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:10am ET $7.88 35 $279.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 1:45am ET $7.63 35 $270.36 $270.36 $-10.31
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
62 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 1:50am ET $7.73 35 $270.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2026 4:35am ET $7.49 35 $261.83 $261.83 $-9.86
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
63 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2026 5:05am ET $7.47 35 $261.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:50am ET $7.23 35 $253.35 $253.35 $-9.77
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
64 🟢 BUY Aug 30, 2026 7:40pm ET $7.10 36 $253.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $7.47 36 $266.37 $266.37 +$11.72
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.6d held
65 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $7.21 37 $266.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 4:40am ET $7.59 37 $280.37 $280.37 +$12.63
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held
66 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 8:25am ET $9.06 31 $280.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 12:15pm ET $9.59 31 $296.64 $296.64 +$14.83
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
67 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 8:50pm ET $10.49 28 $296.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 9:05pm ET $10.03 28 $283.80 $283.80 $-14.29
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
68 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 9:10pm ET $9.98 28 $283.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2026 10:20pm ET $9.68 28 $275.21 $275.21 $-9.99
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
69 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2026 10:25pm ET $9.67 28 $275.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 7:55am ET $10.31 28 $293.57 $293.57 +$16.94
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.5h held
70 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $11.01 27 $293.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 8:15pm ET $11.58 27 $308.90 $308.90 +$13.83
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8h held
71 🟢 BUY Sep 20, 2026 9:40pm ET $11.37 27 $308.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:35am ET $10.99 27 $298.60 $298.60 $-11.82
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held
72 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:00am ET $10.77 28 $298.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 7:05pm ET $11.32 28 $313.99 $313.99 +$13.86
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
73 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 8:05am ET $10.86 29 $313.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET $10.47 29 $302.57 $302.57 $-12.96
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
74 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $10.37 29 $302.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 5:35am ET $10.04 29 $292.74 $292.74 $-11.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $292.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,707.26
Total Return: -97.07%
Back to Danny Dip