AVGO Danny Dip's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 30 trades in period
+51.35%
Year to Date Return
$24,436.18
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$16,145.81
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
51
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
21.4/35
Total Return
18.0/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
52.1/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 50.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
17,092
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)
Market Closed (8 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$16,145.81
Current Value
$24,436.18
Period P&L
$8,290.38
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
16 /
14
Best Trade
+8.13%
Worst Trade
-5.13%
Avg Trade Return
+1.50%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,302,765.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,290.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,290.38
Gross Return
+51.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+51.35%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $16,145.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $337.69 | 47 | $15,871.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:10am ET | $355.33 | 47 | $16,700.42 | $16,974.80 |
+$828.99 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $341.05 | 49 | $16,711.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $330.79 | 49 | $16,208.71 | $16,472.06 |
$-502.74 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.67 | 52 | $16,414.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $331.96 | 52 | $17,261.92 | $17,319.14 |
+$847.08 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $323.94 | 53 | $17,168.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $313.64 | 53 | $16,622.66 | $16,772.97 |
$-546.16 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $302.48 | 55 | $16,636.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $322.70 | 55 | $17,748.50 | $17,885.20 |
+$1,112.23 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $317.91 | 56 | $17,802.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $333.88 | 56 | $18,697.28 | $18,779.51 |
+$894.31 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $316.93 | 59 | $18,698.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.83 | 59 | $19,695.97 | $19,776.61 |
+$997.10 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $323.20 | 61 | $19,715.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $311.42 | 61 | $18,996.62 | $19,058.03 |
$-718.58 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.36 | 61 | $18,870.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.82 | 61 | $20,118.72 | $20,305.79 |
+$1,247.76 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $329.77 | 61 | $20,116.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 12:45pm ET | $346.44 | 61 | $21,132.84 | $21,322.60 |
+$1,016.81 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $327.28 | 65 | $21,273.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET | $317.33 | 65 | $20,626.77 | $20,676.17 |
$-646.43 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET | $315.33 | 65 | $20,496.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.81 | 65 | $19,812.65 | $19,992.37 |
$-683.80 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $292.64 | 68 | $19,899.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $307.70 | 68 | $20,923.77 | $21,016.28 |
+$1,023.91 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $302.15 | 69 | $20,848.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.71 | 69 | $22,542.99 | $22,710.92 |
+$1,694.64 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $409.89 | 55 | $22,543.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $397.10 | 55 | $21,840.23 | $22,007.47 |
$-703.45 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 10:20am ET | $418.30 | 52 | $21,751.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:00pm ET | $439.60 | 52 | $22,859.20 | $23,115.33 |
+$1,107.86 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $407.90 | 56 | $22,842.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $428.83 | 56 | $24,014.48 | $24,287.41 |
+$1,172.08 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $417.02 | 58 | $24,186.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $441.23 | 58 | $25,591.34 | $25,691.88 |
+$1,404.47 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $409.07 | 62 | $25,362.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET | $396.32 | 62 | $24,571.84 | $24,901.38 |
$-790.50 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $394.85 | 63 | $24,875.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $382.73 | 63 | $24,111.68 | $24,137.82 |
$-763.56 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $382.83 | 63 | $24,118.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $409.76 | 63 | $25,815.13 | $25,834.66 |
+$1,696.84 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $398.43 | 64 | $25,499.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $378.00 | 64 | $24,192.00 | $24,527.14 |
$-1,307.52 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $373.93 | 65 | $24,305.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $361.26 | 65 | $23,481.58 | $23,703.27 |
$-823.87 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $364.37 | 65 | $23,684.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $382.86 | 65 | $24,885.90 | $24,905.09 |
+$1,201.82 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $388.00 | 64 | $24,832.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $376.18 | 64 | $24,075.60 | $24,148.69 |
$-756.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $380.88 | 63 | $23,995.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $402.92 | 63 | $25,383.65 | $25,536.90 |
+$1,388.21 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $408.23 | 62 | $25,310.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $395.32 | 62 | $24,509.84 | $24,736.48 |
$-800.42 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $381.31 | 64 | $24,403.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $369.81 | 64 | $23,667.84 | $24,000.48 |
$-736.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.86 | 68 | $23,858.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $368.92 | 68 | $25,086.90 | $25,228.90 |
+$1,228.42 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $349.22 | 72 | $25,143.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 1:05pm ET | $338.21 | 72 | $24,351.12 | $24,436.18 |
$-792.72 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$24,436.18
Net Profit/Loss:
+$14,436.18
Total Return:
+144.36%