Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:42:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
4.3/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.9/100
× Confidence 0.81 = 10.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,933
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,919.60
Current Value
$10,226.10
Period P&L
$306.49
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+8.72%
Worst Trade
-3.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
6.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$180,559.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$306.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$306.49
Gross Return
+3.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,919.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $359.55 27 $9,707.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $364.26 27 $9,834.89 $10,046.65 +$127.04
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET $347.25 28 $9,722.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $360.03 28 $10,080.84 $10,404.63 +$357.98
(+3.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
10.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:55am ET $333.54 31 $10,339.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 10:35am ET $321.82 31 $9,976.42 $10,041.47 $-363.16
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $320.53 31 $9,936.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $310.81 31 $9,635.11 $9,740.15 $-301.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $297.35 32 $9,515.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:30am ET $292.73 32 $9,367.36 $9,592.31 $-147.84
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $294.02 32 $9,408.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $319.66 32 $10,229.12 $10,412.63 +$820.32
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $341.89 30 $10,256.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:10am ET $359.41 30 $10,782.30 $10,938.23 +$525.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:05am ET $338.56 32 $10,833.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $326.17 32 $10,437.44 $10,541.75 $-396.48
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $315.31 33 $10,405.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $305.74 33 $10,089.58 $10,226.10 $-315.65
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,226.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$226.10
Total Return: +2.26%
Back to Danny Dip