Compendium › Danny Dip › DIS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIS
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

+9.13%
Year to Date Return
$10,235.82
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$9,379.21
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:15:25

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 60%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
4.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.60 = 5.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (60%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,283
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,379.21
Current Value
$10,235.82
Period P&L
$856.60
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.67

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+5.45%
Worst Trade
-3.07%
Avg Trade Return
+2.28%
Avg Hold Time
6.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$76,282.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$856.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$856.60
Gross Return
+9.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,379.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $105.05 89 $9,349.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $106.80 89 $9,505.20 $9,534.97 +$155.75
(+1.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
7.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:35am ET $103.07 92 $9,482.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $99.90 92 $9,191.26 $9,244.02 $-290.95
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET $92.86 99 $9,193.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $97.93 99 $9,694.58 $9,745.46 +$501.44
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:45am ET $95.92 101 $9,687.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $100.78 101 $10,178.28 $10,235.82 +$490.36
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,235.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$235.82
Total Return: +2.36%
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