DOGEUSD Danny Dip's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 47 trades in period
-40.10%
Year to Date Return
$700.20
Current Value
34%
Win Rate
$1,014.87
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality
3.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 3.6
30-Day Momentum
3
-11.1%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
49,472
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
172 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$1,014.87
Current Value
$700.20
Period P&L
$-406.95
Max Drawdown
-94.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
47
Winners / Losers
16 /
31
Best Trade
+6.76%
Worst Trade
-7.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.46%
Avg Hold Time
18.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$77,026.11
Estimated Fees
$192.57
Gross P&L
$-406.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-599.52
Gross Return
-40.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-59.07%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 172 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 47 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $1,014.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 6:45am ET | $0.1288 | 7,881 | $1,014.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $0.1359 | 7,881 | $1,071.18 | $1,065.97 |
+$51.13 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $0.1505 | 7,083 | $1,065.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $0.1458 | 7,083 | $1,032.75 | $1,027.50 |
$-38.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $0.1456 | 7,057 | $1,027.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:50am ET | $0.1534 | 7,057 | $1,082.20 | $1,076.92 |
+$49.42 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 4:55am ET | $0.1484 | 7,256 | $1,076.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:15am ET | $0.1432 | 7,256 | $1,038.97 | $1,033.68 |
$-43.24 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $0.1402 | 7,374 | $1,033.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $0.1359 | 7,374 | $1,002.12 | $997.03 |
$-36.65 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 6:25pm ET | $0.1335 | 7,471 | $997.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET | $0.1271 | 7,471 | $949.44 | $944.57 |
$-52.46 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET | $0.1268 | 7,449 | $944.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 5:30pm ET | $0.1221 | 7,449 | $909.49 | $904.86 |
$-39.72 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $0.1212 | 7,468 | $904.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $0.1276 | 7,468 | $952.72 | $948.08 |
+$43.22 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $0.1168 | 8,119 | $948.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:25am ET | $0.1131 | 8,119 | $918.55 | $913.88 |
$-34.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET | $0.1068 | 8,554 | $913.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $0.1016 | 8,554 | $869.06 | $864.60 |
$-49.28 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:15pm ET | $0.1023 | 8,451 | $864.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $0.1078 | 8,451 | $910.91 | $906.47 |
+$41.87 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $0.1066 | 8,501 | $906.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:20pm ET | $0.1031 | 8,501 | $876.29 | $871.84 |
$-34.64 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET | $0.1029 | 8,476 | $871.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $0.1087 | 8,476 | $921.34 | $916.85 |
+$45.02 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 5:50am ET | $0.0994 | 9,226 | $916.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $0.0955 | 9,226 | $881.43 | $876.93 |
$-39.92 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $0.0955 | 9,183 | $876.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $0.0922 | 9,183 | $846.26 | $841.95 |
$-34.98 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $0.0922 | 9,132 | $841.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $0.0894 | 9,132 | $816.47 | $812.33 |
$-29.62 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $0.0890 | 9,129 | $812.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $0.0824 | 9,129 | $751.89 | $747.98 |
$-64.35 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $0.0816 | 9,163 | $747.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $0.0872 | 9,163 | $798.56 | $794.69 |
+$46.71 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:40pm ET | $0.0870 | 9,137 | $794.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:10am ET | $0.0916 | 9,137 | $836.72 | $832.64 |
+$37.95 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET | $0.0906 | 9,195 | $832.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 8:40am ET | $0.0951 | 9,195 | $874.67 | $870.40 |
+$37.75 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $0.0984 | 8,849 | $870.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 7, 2026 2:15am ET | $0.0952 | 8,849 | $842.17 | $837.89 |
$-32.51 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2026 2:20am ET | $0.0956 | 8,766 | $837.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 5:40am ET | $0.0926 | 8,766 | $811.45 | $807.33 |
$-30.56 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $0.1002 | 8,054 | $807.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 12:25am ET | $0.0971 | 8,054 | $781.73 | $781.73 |
$-29.57 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $0.0990 | 7,900 | $781.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 22, 2026 8:50am ET | $0.0958 | 7,900 | $756.48 | $756.48 |
$-29.09 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET | $0.0921 | 8,214 | $756.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 6:20am ET | $0.0971 | 8,214 | $797.51 | $797.51 |
+$37.15 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 6:20pm ET | $0.1018 | 7,834 | $797.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 6:10am ET | $0.0986 | 7,834 | $772.31 | $772.31 |
$-29.12 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $0.0957 | 8,074 | $772.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 5:25pm ET | $0.0927 | 8,074 | $748.72 | $748.72 |
$-27.40 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET | $0.0899 | 8,326 | $748.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $0.0945 | 8,326 | $786.74 | $786.74 |
+$34.18 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 5:45pm ET | $0.0996 | 7,900 | $786.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:30pm ET | $0.0963 | 7,900 | $760.52 | $760.52 |
$-30.09 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $0.0903 | 8,422 | $760.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 8, 2026 6:00pm ET | $0.0869 | 8,422 | $732.20 | $732.20 |
$-32.05 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $0.0962 | 7,608 | $732.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 10:10pm ET | $0.0933 | 7,608 | $709.71 | $709.71 |
$-26.10 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $0.0978 | 7,254 | $709.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 14, 2026 2:30am ET | $0.0948 | 7,254 | $687.30 | $687.30 |
$-25.90 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:10pm ET | $0.0999 | 6,877 | $687.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 7:45am ET | $0.0969 | 6,877 | $666.54 | $666.54 |
$-24.14 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 7:50am ET | $0.0968 | 6,886 | $666.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 12:15pm ET | $0.0939 | 6,886 | $646.42 | $646.42 |
$-23.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET | $0.0905 | 7,143 | $646.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $0.0954 | 7,143 | $681.24 | $681.23 |
+$31.49 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET | $0.0883 | 7,718 | $681.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 29, 2026 10:50pm ET | $0.0928 | 7,718 | $715.98 | $715.98 |
+$31.26 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $0.0946 | 7,570 | $715.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:50pm ET | $0.0994 | 7,570 | $752.35 | $752.35 |
+$32.70 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 8:15am ET | $0.1065 | 7,063 | $752.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 12:15pm ET | $0.1033 | 7,063 | $729.50 | $729.50 |
$-26.55 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 12:45pm ET | $0.1021 | 7,146 | $729.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 8:55pm ET | $0.1083 | 7,146 | $773.63 | $773.63 |
+$40.37 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $0.1128 | 6,861 | $773.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $0.1093 | 6,861 | $749.86 | $749.86 |
$-27.58 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 10, 2026 4:50pm ET | $0.1066 | 7,035 | $749.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 10, 2026 7:35pm ET | $0.1120 | 7,035 | $787.94 | $787.94 |
+$34.24 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $0.0956 | 8,245 | $787.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 6:55pm ET | $0.0922 | 8,245 | $759.79 | $759.79 |
$-32.02 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.4h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET | $0.0882 | 8,613 | $759.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 1:45am ET | $0.0852 | 8,613 | $734.25 | $734.25 |
$-29.27 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET | $0.0837 | 8,769 | $734.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $0.0810 | 8,769 | $710.59 | $710.59 |
$-27.27 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.3h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $0.0800 | 8,880 | $710.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 7, 2026 1:20am ET | $0.0840 | 8,880 | $746.34 | $746.34 |
+$32.11 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:55am ET | $0.0883 | 8,453 | $746.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 7:20am ET | $0.0856 | 8,453 | $723.36 | $723.36 |
$-26.65 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 3:45pm ET | $0.0850 | 8,510 | $723.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $0.0823 | 8,510 | $700.20 | $700.20 |
$-26.72 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$700.20
Net Profit/Loss:
$-9,299.80
Total Return:
-93.00%