Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:53

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 32.5/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 26.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,172
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,886.91
Current Value
$13,049.81
Period P&L
$2,162.90
Max Drawdown
-18.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
8 / 7
Best Trade
+8.41%
Worst Trade
-4.89%
Avg Trade Return
+1.36%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$350,091.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,162.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,162.90
Gross Return
+19.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,886.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $926.06 11 $10,186.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $896.08 11 $9,856.88 $10,557.13 $-329.78
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:15am ET $898.39 11 $9,882.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:50am ET $870.00 11 $9,570.00 $10,244.84 $-312.29
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $836.25 12 $10,035.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $811.00 12 $9,732.00 $9,941.84 $-303.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET $799.00 12 $9,588.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET $839.59 12 $10,075.08 $10,428.92 +$487.08
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $835.00 12 $10,020.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $905.24 12 $10,862.88 $11,271.80 +$842.88
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $874.20 12 $10,490.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $919.58 12 $11,034.96 $11,816.41 +$544.61
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $944.19 12 $11,330.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:55am ET $993.72 12 $11,924.64 $12,410.77 +$594.36
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $1,038.00 11 $11,418.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $1,090.84 11 $11,999.24 $12,992.01 +$581.24
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $1,025.36 12 $12,304.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,091.77 12 $13,101.24 $13,788.93 +$796.92
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $1,031.87 13 $13,414.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $1,066.50 13 $13,864.50 $14,239.12 +$450.19
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:50am ET $1,111.33 12 $13,335.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,056.94 12 $12,683.28 $13,586.44 $-652.68
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET $1,051.23 12 $12,614.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $1,017.55 12 $12,210.66 $13,182.34 $-404.10
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET $1,006.63 13 $13,086.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:40am ET $1,058.52 13 $13,760.70 $13,856.85 +$674.51
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:50am ET $997.70 13 $12,970.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:15am ET $966.63 13 $12,566.13 $13,452.87 $-403.98
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $949.16 14 $13,288.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET $920.37 14 $12,885.18 $13,049.81 $-403.06
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,049.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,049.81
Total Return: +30.50%
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