Compendium › Danny Dip › ISRG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ISRG
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 14 trades in period

-18.46%
Year to Date Return
$8,317.29
Current Value
21%
Win Rate
$10,199.77
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:08:51

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 4.4/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,801
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
188 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,199.77
Current Value
$8,317.29
Period P&L
$-1,882.50
Max Drawdown
-20.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.40

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
3 / 11
Best Trade
+5.72%
Worst Trade
-4.27%
Avg Trade Return
-1.45%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$240,939.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,882.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,882.50
Gross Return
-18.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 188 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,199.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET $569.23 17 $9,676.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $547.81 17 $9,312.77 $9,835.64 $-364.14
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:25am ET $506.96 19 $9,632.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:35am ET $491.64 19 $9,341.25 $9,544.65 $-290.99
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $480.68 19 $9,132.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET $460.16 19 $8,743.04 $9,154.77 $-389.88
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $456.60 20 $9,132.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $450.41 20 $9,008.20 $9,030.97 $-123.80
(-1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET $451.70 19 $8,582.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:55am ET $437.81 19 $8,318.39 $8,767.06 $-263.91
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
6 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:45am ET $436.07 20 $8,721.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:45am ET $422.45 20 $8,449.00 $8,494.66 $-272.40
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:40am ET $401.18 21 $8,424.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $422.02 21 $8,862.42 $8,932.30 +$437.64
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:35am ET $427.13 20 $8,542.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $410.36 20 $8,207.14 $8,596.82 $-335.48
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $396.31 21 $8,322.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:20am ET $380.33 21 $7,986.93 $8,261.24 $-335.58
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $365.02 22 $8,030.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:50am ET $352.12 22 $7,746.64 $7,977.33 $-283.91
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET $332.19 24 $7,972.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $351.18 24 $8,428.32 $8,433.09 +$455.76
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET $353.09 23 $8,121.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $371.06 23 $8,534.38 $8,846.40 +$413.31
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $378.34 23 $8,701.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:45am ET $366.96 23 $8,440.08 $8,584.66 $-261.74
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:35am ET $365.96 23 $8,417.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:40am ET $354.34 23 $8,149.82 $8,317.29 $-267.38
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,317.29
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,682.71
Total Return: -16.83%
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