Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:05:47

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.8/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 40.5/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 32.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,410
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
189 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$15,042.40
Current Value
$16,252.35
Period P&L
$1,209.96
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+7.70%
Worst Trade
-3.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.77%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$381,279.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,209.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,209.96
Gross Return
+8.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 189 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $15,042.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:05am ET $1,047.72 14 $14,668.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $1,103.03 14 $15,442.42 $15,816.74 +$774.34
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $1,038.69 15 $15,580.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET $1,091.91 15 $16,378.65 $16,615.04 +$798.30
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $1,012.17 16 $16,194.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,090.07 16 $17,441.12 $17,861.44 +$1,246.40
(+7.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1,048.31 17 $17,821.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $1,014.87 17 $17,252.79 $17,292.95 $-568.48
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:55am ET $1,072.00 16 $17,152.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,046.36 16 $16,741.76 $16,882.71 $-410.24
(-2.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
6h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:00am ET $972.59 17 $16,534.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $941.04 17 $15,997.68 $16,346.36 $-536.35
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $890.01 18 $16,020.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $862.98 18 $15,533.64 $15,859.82 $-486.54
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:30am ET $1,191.36 13 $15,487.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $1,149.93 13 $14,949.09 $15,321.23 $-538.59
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $1,180.99 12 $14,171.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $1,145.00 12 $13,740.00 $14,889.29 $-431.94
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:55am ET $1,112.01 13 $14,456.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1,177.99 13 $15,313.87 $15,747.09 +$857.80
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:50am ET $1,174.62 13 $15,270.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $1,255.47 13 $16,321.11 $16,798.14 +$1,051.05
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:40am ET $1,191.30 14 $16,678.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $1,152.31 14 $16,132.41 $16,252.35 $-545.79
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,252.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,252.35
Total Return: +62.52%
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