Compendium › Danny Dip › LTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 28 trades in period

-33.07%
Year to Date Return
$2,841.56
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$3,962.75
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 15:26:47

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
22.8 oversold
20d Trend
-38.7%
5d Trend
-38.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.1%
ATR%
12.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-12.8%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
49,469
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
172 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$3,962.75
Current Value
$2,841.56
Period P&L
$-1,310.57
Max Drawdown
-84.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
9 / 19
Best Trade
+5.62%
Worst Trade
-7.80%
Avg Trade Return
-0.81%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$185,856.64
Estimated Fees
$464.64
Gross P&L
$-1,310.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,775.21
Gross Return
-33.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-44.80%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 172 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $3,962.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:35pm ET $73.40 54 $3,962.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 18, 2026 7:00pm ET $69.91 54 $3,774.40 $3,755.06 $-207.77
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 18, 2026 7:05pm ET $69.46 54 $3,755.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $67.35 54 $3,640.99 $3,622.50 $-132.56
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET $66.58 54 $3,622.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 5:25am ET $70.20 54 $3,819.46 $3,800.85 +$178.35
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 25, 2026 12:20pm ET $67.32 56 $3,800.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $65.28 56 $3,685.67 $3,666.96 $-133.89
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET $65.47 56 $3,666.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:30am ET $63.50 56 $3,556.62 $3,538.56 $-128.40
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET $60.05 59 $3,538.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $57.99 59 $3,417.17 $3,399.78 $-138.78
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:15pm ET $58.36 58 $3,399.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 10:35pm ET $56.54 58 $3,293.76 $3,277.02 $-122.76
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 1, 2026 10:40pm ET $56.76 58 $3,277.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 7:25am ET $59.67 58 $3,444.74 $3,427.94 +$150.91
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $57.75 59 $3,427.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $60.89 59 $3,614.32 $3,596.72 +$168.78
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 6:10am ET $56.28 64 $3,596.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $54.58 64 $3,488.07 $3,470.36 $-126.35
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET $54.83 63 $3,470.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $52.97 63 $3,352.64 $3,335.58 $-134.78
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $53.64 62 $3,335.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $51.43 62 $3,198.15 $3,181.82 $-153.76
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $51.04 62 $3,181.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $47.06 62 $2,933.70 $2,918.42 $-263.40
(-7.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $46.18 63 $2,918.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET $48.66 63 $3,075.14 $3,060.16 +$141.74
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $49.65 62 $3,060.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET $52.44 62 $3,232.12 $3,216.39 +$156.23
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET $50.61 64 $3,216.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 8:15am ET $53.18 64 $3,379.72 $3,363.23 +$146.84
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:35am ET $53.28 63 $3,363.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 8:50am ET $51.66 63 $3,261.21 $3,261.21 $-118.58
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $51.77 63 $3,261.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 7:50am ET $54.50 63 $3,433.18 $3,433.18 +$155.24
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:35pm ET $56.62 61 $3,433.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $54.62 61 $3,311.91 $3,311.91 $-138.13
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET $52.96 63 $3,311.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:45am ET $55.61 63 $3,477.63 $3,477.63 +$148.75
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 8:35am ET $55.93 62 $3,477.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET $54.22 62 $3,371.31 $3,371.31 $-123.45
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.5d held
22 🟢 BUY May 10, 2026 4:50pm ET $58.06 58 $3,371.31 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2026 2:50am ET $56.14 58 $3,259.82 $3,259.82 $-128.06
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.4d held
23 🟢 BUY May 17, 2026 7:50pm ET $54.13 60 $3,259.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 7:50pm ET $52.45 60 $3,158.65 $3,158.65 $-117.22
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:35am ET $47.64 66 $3,158.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:25pm ET $45.84 66 $3,039.31 $3,039.31 $-134.84
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:30pm ET $45.86 66 $3,039.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05pm ET $44.17 66 $2,927.31 $2,927.31 $-126.92
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 10:10pm ET $44.84 65 $2,927.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:25am ET $43.07 65 $2,811.76 $2,811.76 $-129.90
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:30am ET $43.21 65 $2,811.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2026 12:20am ET $41.57 65 $2,705.04 $2,705.04 $-120.51
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:25am ET $41.61 65 $2,705.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 5:25pm ET $43.71 65 $2,841.56 $2,841.56 +$122.65
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,841.56
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,158.44
Total Return: -71.58%
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